Monday, June 6, 2022

eXp Commercial Explained with Randolph Taylor

 

Every Thursday at 8 a.m. PT eXp Commercial eXplained highlights exceptional Agents, Brokers, and Partners of eXp Commercial. The event is hosted by Commercial President James Huang and Director of Operations Stephanie Gilezan.

On June 2nd, 2022 Randolph Taylor, Senior Associate and Multifamily Investment Sales Broker with the Chicago-Naperville eXp Commercial office was featured to speak about his Commercial Real Estate practice servicing Multifamily Buyers and Sellers throughout the Chicagoland area and Suburbs. As well, Randolph spoke about his recent experience joining eXp Commercial and how this has benefited his practice and service to his clients. 

Below is a recording of this discussion:

How Can We Help You?

Are you looking to Buy, Sell, or Finance/Refinance Multifamily Property?

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/exp-commercial-explained-with-randolph-taylor/

Sunday, June 5, 2022

May Apartment Rents Posted Largest Increase for 2022

 

Still, the longstanding upward trend might have plateaued.

Apartment rents are growing more slowly than they did in 2021, but at a pace faster than the years immediately preceding the pandemic, according to the latest national rent report by Apartment List.

Year-over-year rent growth currently stands at a “staggering” 15.3 percent, according to the report, but is down from the 17.8 percent peak it showed at the start of the year.

In May, rents rose 1.2 percent—the largest monthly increase of the year—and through May they are up 3.9 percent. That lags last summer’s scorching pace, but it’s ahead of the pre-pandemic norm. Five months into 2021, rents rose 6.1 percent.

The national vacancy rate stands at 5 percent, up from the low of 4.1 percent last fall.

Rents increased last month in 96 of the nation’s 100 largest cities, though 70 of these cities have seen slower rent growth in 2022 so far than they did last year. Some of the hottest Sun Belt markets are signaling that their growth has plateaued.

“Based on what we’ve seen so far this year, rent growth in 2022 seems likely to continue exceeding the pre-pandemic trend, even as it moderates substantially from 2021 levels,” Apartment List said in a release.


Source: May Apartment Rents Posted Largest Increase for 2022
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/may-apartment-rents-posted-largest-increase-for-2022/

Saturday, June 4, 2022

Multifamily Still Holds Top Perch Despite Supply Household Formation Concerns

 

Despite inflation and rising rates, multifamily maintains many of the same strong fundamentals as it did at the end of 2021.

Apartment rents have surpassed pre-pandemic levels in many cities across the US, pushing investment sales numbers in the segment to historic highs. And they are expected to remain strong despite increasing concerns about household formation numbers and the lure of single-family rental home investments.

According to Walker & Dunlop’s new multifamily outlook, nearly $290 billion in transactions were logged in 2021, more than double the total from 2020. That activity centered most in the first quarter of this year in Atlanta, Houston, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Phoenix, as interest “firmly” shifted away from coastal markets to the Sun Belt, following pandemic-era trends. Cap rates for the sector are also at record lows, with per-unit pricing rising 11 percent over the past four quarters to $239,000.

“Part of the rebound in the multifamily market reflected a return by many renters who had vacated their urban apartments during the height of the pandemic, but vacancy levels were also flattened by the lack of new multifamily completions,” Walker & Dunlop notes in the report, adding that data also suggests that new completions are likely to be higher in 2022 than last year. “This sets the stage for more multifamily completions over the next three years than any comparable period dating back to 1988, with an above-average concentration in the suburbs,” analysts note.

But as supply ticks up, so do concerns over household formation numbers, which could weigh on absorption. Home sales are also predicted to slow due to rising mortgage rates; according to Fannie Mae’s housing market forecast in April, total home sales are expected to slump by 7.4 percent in 2022 and by another 9.7 percent in 2023.

Walker & Dunlop also pointed to data from Zelman & Associates noting that annual population growth is forecast to increase by just 0.39 percent growth per year for the 2020-30 decade as opposed to a prior decade average of 0.71 percent per year.

Still, Walker & Dunlop goes on to note that even with institutional investors absorbing an increasing share of single-family home purchases, multifamily fundamentals have outperformed Zelman’s recent forecasts, leading them to increase 2022 economic revenue growth to 7.8 percent from 5.8 percent.  “Despite inflation, rising rates, and war in Europe, the multifamily industry maintains many of the same strong fundamentals as it did at the end of 2021 and remains the top-performing commercial real estate asset class.”


Source: Multifamily Still Holds Top Perch Despite Supply Household Formation Concerns
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/multifamily-still-holds-top-perch-despite-supply-household-formation-concerns/

Friday, June 3, 2022

eXp Commercial Explained with Randolph Taylor

 

Every Thursday at 8 a.m. PT eXp Commercial eXplained highlights exceptional Agents, Brokers, and Partners of eXp Commercial. The event is hosted by Commercial President James Huang and Director of Operations Stephanie Gilezan.

On June 2nd, 2022 Randolph Taylor, Senior Associate and Multifamily Investment Sales Broker with the Chicago-Naperville eXp Commercial office was featured to speak about his Commercial Real Estate practice servicing Multifamily Buyers and Sellers throughout the Chicagoland area and Suburbs. As well, Randolph spoke about his recent experience joining eXp Commercial and how this has benefited his practice and service to his clients. 

Below is a recording of this discussion:

 

How Can We Help You?

Are you looking to Buy, Sell, or Finance/Refinance Multifamily Property?

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/exp-commercial-explained-with-randolph-taylor/

Monday, April 25, 2022

Ancillary Revenue’s Winners and Losers

Pet fees are up while late fees are down.  

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to cast a long shadow over the rental housing industry, ancillary revenue would seem to be a low priority. In previous years, collecting ancillary fees was an important — though legally fraught — concern. But now, with job losses mounting around the country, many apartment operators are simply focused on collecting rent on time.

For example, Haven Realty Capital, based in El Segundo, Calif., is sacrificing the flow of one ancillary revenue stream in exchange for trying to keep its residents in place. “Month-to-month premiums were waived to allow flexibility for residents who had lease expirations during the pandemic months,” says Sudha M. Reddy, Managing Principal of Haven.

In a recession, apartment operators are justifiably focused on just “keeping heads in beds.” Operators may even need to think twice about imposing ancillary fees.

But in the longer term, the COVID-19 lockdown may present new revenue opportunities, if residents receive financial relief and the unemployment situation stabilizes. If trends such as teleworking become commonplace, the COVID-19 lockdown could change the way residents use energy and bandwidth and give operators the chance to consider residents’ high-speed connections to the outside world.

Not Pressing the Issue

The general rule for multifamily ancillary revenue is about 5 percent of total income, but many of the fees are also accompanied by attendant costs. In the short term, Max Sharkansky, Managing Partner of Trion Properties, based in West Hollywood, Calif., is more concerned about on-time rent payments.

“We [could] charge higher pet rates and higher lease-break fees, but we’re just not pressing that issue because it’s tough out there,” Sharkansky says. “We’re signing leases, we’re doing fine, our collections are in the mid-90s. But we’re also in a 12 percent unemployment market, so I don’t know if this is an optimal time to start increasing our fees.”

As the amenity wars heated up during the past decade, ancillary revenue took a back seat to services, such as dog walking. But as the recession lingers, those services are also in jeopardy.

“It’s so hard to compete on what has become a commodity,” says Brian Zrimsek, Industry Principal of the tech firm MRI Software, based in Solon, Ohio. “The apartment can only be so big; the pool can only be so grand. So we found operators moving to adding services, dog-walking services, laundry pickup services and yoga classes — amenities as a service. But when a recession comes, that’s the first thing to go.”

This strategy is a throwback to the 2008 housing market collapse. “In 2008 they lowered prices and increased terms to lock people in,” says Zrimsek. “They’d rather have sure but thin revenue. In good times, it’s okay to have a little nickel-and-diming for things. We’re also seeing concessions come back. It would not surprise me if things that people charge for in the best of times they change their mind on now.”

Sorry, You’re Late

Early in the pandemic, municipalities, states, and the federal government moved to curtail evictions and late fees to help keep residents in their homes. Now, six months into the crisis, what were once seen as temporary measures are being extended in many parts of the country as the apartment business takes the hit.

At Haven Realty Capital, late fees have traditionally been a large revenue stream, followed by pet rent and admin fees. “[But] late-fee revenue has dropped to zero since April,” Reddy says. “The moratorium on late fees has also eliminated the incentive to pay on time, resulting in a delay in our collections at some of the properties.”

It’s the same story at Trion Properties, as Sharkansky simultaneously eyes what’s happening in collections and the state legislature. “We’re in California, and not allowed to charge late fees,” he says. “In California, it’s open-ended. It’s a function of when they remove the emergency order. In Oregon, it was set to expire but was then extended to Sept. 30. We still get the majority of our rents in the first week [of the month], but the next 20 to 25 percent are paying in the following three weeks.”

Future Opportunities

As many residents have been hunkered down for months now, apartment operators are seeing an increase in their energy and data consumption. Even before the pandemic, says Todd Richman, Senior Vice President at Morgan Properties, based in King of Prussia, Pa., marketing contracts with cable providers and Internet providers did well for his company.

Richman is predicting that addiction to Netflix and Zoom dependence is going to raise the income from fees. “I would assume that once we see the numbers, we might have higher income from these services,” he says. “With people working from home, they may have had to upgrade to a better Internet service, they may have ordered more services. It’s possible it’s remained the same. But I’m expecting Internet penetrations to be higher than they’ve ever been.”

Laundry rooms are another small but reliable revenue source for Morgan, and Richman is expecting to see an uptick — again because people are spending more time at home.

Trion’s Sharkansky also is bullish on laundry. Trash collection, water usage, pest control, and sewage fees are also looking up. “Ratio utility billing [RUBS] is huge,” he says. “Although I don’t know if you can qualify that as ancillary income; it’s more of an expense reimbursement, but it’s on the income side of the P&L.”

Doggy Day Care

The pandemic has been a huge boon for pet adoption, according to a number of sources. The consensus is that people who had been putting off getting a dog or cat because they didn’t spend enough time at home suddenly have no excuse.

In April, Kitty Block, CEO of the Humane Society, told the Chicago Tribune, “I think it’s a combination of reasons. We’re going through a global pandemic and its anxiety-provoking and it’s isolating. Those who are fortunate enough to work remotely are doing it from home, so people have the time now and the desire to open up their homes to a pet, to give that animal a chance.”

The trend is confirmed by the numbers Trion Properties is seeing. “In April, May, and June we had an uptick in pet fees,” Sharkansky says. “Looking at year-over-year for June, portfolio-wide, we did about $9,400, and last year [it] was around $7,000, so we’re seeing a 34 percent increase.”

But even enforcing pet fees will likely get some pushback from residents, demonstrating, once again, that at this point in time, fees are a touchy issue

“I don’t know that the first thing a resident does when they get a pet is call the office and let us know,” says Richman of Morgan Properties. “We’re trying not to be intrusive to residents about being in their apartments. We’re not doing walk-throughs of each apartment; it would be very hard to do that.”


Source: Ancillary Revenue’s Winners and Losers
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/ancillary-revenues-winners-and-losers/

Sunday, April 24, 2022

A Blended Approach to Resident Prospecting

For some companies, ILS and Craigslist still offer the best way to get in front of prospects.

While geo-mapping and SEO optimization are apartment marketers’ shiny new toys, going back to the basics can serve managers well.

“We are going old school,” FPI Vice President Vanessa Siebern says. “We are spending a lot of money in ILS and we are going to back to the basics with Craigslist. We are really sharpening our curb appeal and putting up some great banners.” Shortly after talking about her low-tech strategy (great banners), Siebern acknowledges that FPI is making a major foray into geo-targeting and SEO at selected communities, especially lease-ups. That balance of traditional and cutting-edge is something other firms are also implementing. Heading into spring, Trion Properties sent out an email blast with a limited time only “Spring Special” concession to all leads it received during the past three months through its various leasing platforms. Make no mistake, Trion still leans on grassroots outreach to find new residents.

“Our property managers are heavily involved in outreach, staying on the pulse of their local communities and handing out flyers at local events,” says Max Sharkansky, Managing Partner at Trion. “We are also running a Resident Referral Program, which includes a $500 rent credit to each existing resident who refers a new one.”

Time sensitivity also still sells. Trion is running a “Look & Lease” special at its lease-up properties. “Prospective residents receive an extra concession for touring a unit, applying, and getting approved in the same day,” Sharkansky says. “This has helped us to ‘lock-in’ residents faster than we would otherwise, and reduces the chance of losing prospects who have toured our community to a competitor.”

Part of the necessity for marrying both types of marketing comes from the sheer age range of people who rent now. With Baby Boomers, Gen X, Millennials, and now Gen Z renting apartments, a one-size-fits-all strategy will not work.

“We have to understand our audience and how to communicate with them,” says Tina West, CPM, Chief Operating Officer for Capstone Real Estate Services. “Specifically, with Millennials, we have to work on how responsive we are and creating opportunities for online chat, text messaging, and online call centers that are really the digital call centers. We are really trying to capture their values in short videos and chats—trying to connect with them in the way they communicate today.” But having great curb appeal and traditional forms of marketing also matter.

“We are always doing our tried-and-true and what works for the rest of the audience,” West says. “We have to spread our net wide and far and create any opportunity we can to get in front of our customers.”


https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/a-blended-approach-to-resident-prospecting/

Saturday, April 23, 2022

While rents grow at an unprecedented pace so do payrolls

 

While rents grow at an unprecedented pace, so do payrolls. Apartment operators are fighting to retain and hire talent, and that's a win for community managers, leasing agents, and maintenance technicians. Apartment payrolls have surged by 12.6% in 2021 -- lifting the average increase in the COVID-era to 8.9%. By comparison, payrolls grew by an average of 3.2% annually pre-COVID.

Property management is certainly not unique in that regard. For all the (much warranted) talk about inflation, it's often lost that WAGE GROWTH plays a key role in inflation. Businesses are spending more on their top asset -- their people. And while salaries do not necessary keep pace with costs for every worker in every sector, most apartment staff are likely seeing wage growth above the national norms. We're hearing all the time how much property managers are fighting for talent. Your competitors are trying to lure away your best people. You're sometimes pulling from hospitability sectors to find potential leasing agents with no direct industry experience. And you're doing all you can to incentivize your best people to stay. Pay is a big piece of it, but not the only piece. It's also work/life balance and job duties -- relying more on technology and centralization to free up your on-site teams to focus on the highest-value tasks: leasing out units and taking care of residents. On-site teams are people/people ... this is what they want to do. Back-office work is burnout work.

Many property management companies are also operating with fewer people on-site, but that makes those remaining roles all the more valuable (and more expensive).


Source: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/jay-parsons-a7a6656_propertymanagement-apartments-wages-activity-6909501365589319680-1QiQ?utm_source=linkedin_share&utm_medium=member_desktop_web

 
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/while-rents-grow-at-an-unprecedented-pace-so-do-payrolls/

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