Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Multifamily’s secret weapon against recession? Proptech

In 2022, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates seven times, prompting industry leaders to anticipate further hikes in 2023. A recession was expected to be on the horizon, with inflation remaining high. As a result, multifamily owners began taking preemptive actions to reduce costs to prepare for a challenging economic period.

Recessions are nothing new to the American economy, and some industries have proven resilient during even the most challenging times. The multifamily property industry has shown this resilience through five recessions in the last forty years while also surviving a global pandemic that crippled many other sectors.

What strategies are owners and operators in the multifamily industry employing today to maintain their profit margins in the face of volatile economic times? Here are some ways to sustain success in the multifamily sector despite uncertain financial conditions.

Recession pushes multifamily toward prop-tech.

With a possible recession looming, the future of the multifamily property industry may appear uncertain. But if past performance is any indication, the future is brighter than you might think. Owners and operators will inevitably need to implement cost-cutting measures to survive. However, a recession presents a unique opportunity that, if seized, can help businesses secure long-term growth and sustained profitability.

After two years of remarkable growth, the multifamily industry is now experiencing the effects of a slowdown. While rents had been steadily rising, they are now stabilizing, leading owners to search for ways to recover their diminishing operating income.

One solution that many owners gravitate toward is PropTech. PropTech effectively increases efficiency and appeals to tenants, allowing property owners to stay competitive in the market despite economic changes. This is evidenced by the 82% of residents wanting to live in apartments with intelligent devices.

Investing in thoughtful amenities, such as intelligent access control, smart thermostats, and self-guided tours, became popular during the COVID pandemic. At the same time, more than 62% of property managers consider optimizing their operations to gain efficiencies as one of the biggest challenges they face. Intelligent tech-enabled automation can increase operational efficiencies and reduce staff payroll while effectively maintaining the property.

Self-guided tours also allow for extended viewing hours, and more prospects can be hosted on average. This generates more turn-around opportunities, which can increase lease signings and help properties stay competitive despite market turbulence.

PropTech doesn’t just address resident demands. It addresses the needs of owners and operators to reduce costs, appeal to tenants and streamline operations.

Stability during volatility

As the market fluctuates and rents flatten, business owners in every sector will look to cut costs however they can. Time and time, multifamily owners have restructured their operations with intelligent tech to maximize property efficiency and solidify their resilience in uncertain conditions.

Intelligent automation technology, for instance, allows owners to centralize their leasing operations and decrease the number of employees needed to run each of their communities. Powerful self-guided touring technology and intelligent access control systems allow staff to grant prospective residents on-site access remotely and with just a few clicks. No longer do properties need to over-hire to maintain their performance; in fact, many communities experience greater NOI after automating just a portion of their day-to-day operations.

This concept also applies to site-wide energy management. Smart thermostats can be placed inside vacant units and modified by staff remotely, reducing the labor required to adjust settings manually. More significantly, each property can dramatically reduce its energy consumption in these unoccupied units by toggling smart thermostats off when not in use. These immediate savings are a valuable way to offset the adverse effects of a recession.

Residents can save on their energy bills if they have smart thermostats installed in their apartments. They can precisely manage their year-over-year energy usage to deduct as much as 10% to 12% from their heating bills and 15% from their cooling accounts. By providing value to your residents through these savings, you’ll increase your retention rate, which becomes even more critical to your success when attracting new residents becomes more difficult.

Recession equals opportunity growth.

Multifamily owners can earn an advantage over their competitors during a recession by upgrading their legacy buildings with intelligent tech.

While a pool and tennis court are nice community perks, data consistently shows that today’s renters are primarily attracted to innovative tech amenities that make their day-to-day lives easier. Smart tech appeals to today’s renters because it offers them instant conveniences without stress and from anywhere. Meanwhile, owners who implement smart tech manage their assets more efficiently, retain more residents on average, and decrease operational drag and overhead costs.

Given its unique value and benefits, smart tech should no longer be considered a “secret weapon” but an essential tool for multifamily owners and operators to implement, regardless of market conditions.

 

Source: Multifamily’s secret weapon against recession? Proptech – REJournals

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/multifamilys-secret-weapon-against-recession-proptech/

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2023 eXp Commercial Commercial Real Estate Symposium

The Commercial Real Estate Symposium will provide junior and senior agents and brokers with valuable insights on topics, including: international opportunities, capital and funding for small businesses in today’s market, how to attract investors, and much more.

Dates: April 25-26, 2023
Start Time: 9 a.m. - 4 p.m. CST
LocationeXp Commercial Campus

We look forward to seeing you in the metaverse!

Important: Please download the virtual eXp Commercial Campus prior to the event, and follow the instructions to login and create your avatar. Feel free to explore the campus before the event begins.

 
 

Interested in Joining eXp Commercial as a Commercial Real Estate Agent?

Further Info

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/2023-exp-commercial-commercial-real-estate-symposium/

Monday, March 27, 2023

Commercial Rate Snapshot March 27th 2023

Commercial Rate Snapshot 1-16-2023

These are the average available rates from eXp Commercial's Capital Partner CommLoan database of 700+ commercial lenders as of 1/16/2023 and are provided for comparison purposes only.

*Actual rates are dependent on property and sponsor.

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Receive a Loan Quote from eXp Commercial's Capital Markets Partner CommLoan Thousands of Loan Programs. Hundreds of Lenders One Commercial Real Estate Lending Platform. One-stop shopping and unprecedented access to the capital markets

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https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/commercial-rate-snapshot-march-27th-2023/

Positive Shifts Ahead in Multifamily

Positive Shifts Ahead in Multifamily: NMHC

Panelists at the organization’s annual conference discussed current market issues and future silver linings.

“It is unusual for us as the industry darling to face valuation challenges, slowing rent growth, and somewhat soft renter demand,” Hessam Nadji, president & CEO of Marcus & Millichap, said of multifamily to the attendees of the National Multifamily Housing Council’s 2023 Annual Meeting. “Very unusual.”

Based on the surface of the facts facing multifamily, some outlooks can look scary. Multifamily unit absorption, according to Nadji, has turned negative while many apartments are currently under construction and will be delivered in 2022. The industry is also now facing the fastest economic tightening since 1980. However, as we pace further in 2023, Nadji expects we will start to reach normalization and have clarity on where the markets are going.

“Five years from now, we will be looking at the current set of dynamics as a current and rather unexpected temporary aberration,” Nadji told Multi-Housing News.

The issues at hand

Despite different NMHC panelists disagreeing on just how bad multifamily and the general real estate’s current circumstances are, the issues at bay were broadly similar across discussions. Multifamily faces tight financing, rising interest rates, high construction costs, prolonged construction timing, loan defaults, and the challenges of potentially overbuilding in specific markets.

When asked if the panelists believed construction rates would regulate and find a sense of normalcy again, Chip Bay, chief construction officer at Mill Creek Residential, responded by saying some people in the industry believe they already have. Therefore, the plan is re-budgeting for these higher costs instead of waiting to see what the future holds.

Further, after a strong 2022, lenders reset allocations for 2023 amidst volatile and uncertain markets. With proper funding more difficult to come by on top of already steep construction and building costs, man


While construction activity is slower than usual, transaction activity is simultaneously slower. Despite buyer demand remaining strong, the bid-ask gap between buyers and sellers makes deals less frequent. “For most operators, there is no urgency to sell or reduce prices,” Nadji told MHN. “At the same time, for a lot of operators who used short-term debt that is maturing as well as long-term debt that was placed five to seven years ago, there is a bridging challenge between the cost of debt they are used to and what is available in the current marketplace.”

A better future on the horizon

With so many issues at bay, it may not be easy to see the silver lining. However, several panelists and speakers throughout the NMHC conference gave reasons for retaining hope.

Senior Managing Director & Co-Chief Investment Officer at Bridge Investment Group, Colin Apple, said that the long-term fundamentals of multifamily as an asset are good. The market, over the next couple of years, he believes, will slow. Some purchases will be better located and positioned than others. In the longer term, once we are through the current pipeline of new deliveries, the multifamily industry will still be undersupplied and increasing in value.

Carl Whitaker, director of research and analysis for RealPage Inc., said that across several multifamily demand KPIs, there are already signs of stability in leasing, renewal, and occupancy. This indicates that the markets may return much faster than in the next couple of years.

Nadji spoke during the conference saying three things need to happen for the stars in multifamily to align and bring some clarity: an understanding of when the Federal Reserve will finish raising interest rates, clarity on the recession, and a recalibrating of the multifamily industry. Once the markets have a greater understanding of the timeline of each of those three things, we can hope to see regular trading activity later in 2023, according to Nadji.

“Our current challenges in the industry are short-term. The fact remains that housing is significantly undersupplied at a macro level,” Nadji told MHN.

Source: Positive Shifts Ahead in Multifamily: NMHC

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/positive-shifts-ahead-in-multifamily/

Sunday, March 26, 2023

Commercial Multifamily Housing Industry Guide

Multifamily Housing: Definitions, Examples, and Opportunities

This guide addresses the following questions about the multifamily real estate sector.

 

  • What are the trends in multifamily home investing?

  • What does a multifamily home mean?

  • Is a multifamily dwelling unit commercial or residential?

  • What are the types of multifamily homes?

  • Who are the top multifamily companies?

The commercial real estate multifamily sector experienced a strong start in 2022. Vacancies dropped to 2.3%, down by 2.5 percentage points compared to the previous year, according to a Q1 2022 CBRE report. Additionally, new construction has added resulted in bringing about 66,400 units. Investors have noticed these positive developments, with total investments reaching $63B.

If you want to sell into the multifamily industry, it is essential to find the right contact — and filter out those that don't cover the suitable asset class. Here is a quick guide on the basics of multifamily commercial real estate investing for those interested in entering the market:

What Is Considered a Multifamily Home? (And What Is Commercial vs. Residential MFH?)

 

Multifamily properties consist of multiple apartment units, which can be managed by the investor or another entity, such as a management company, to manage building maintenance. Multifamily homes can be either residential or commercial, and we'll explain the difference.

Multifamily residential versus commercial

The number of units determines whether an asset is classified as a residential or commercial multifamily property.

  • Residential multifamily buildings consist of two to four units, such as duplexes.

  • Commercial multifamily properties consist of five or more units.

A single-family home is a property on a piece of land designated to have rooms and utilities for one family.

Single-family homes aren't considered multifamily properties. However, buildings with shared walls and separate utilities would classify the property as multifamily even when the homes are attached to the same land.

5 Common Types of Multifamily Buildings

 

Multifamily properties may differ based on ownership and the offerings for their tenants. Here is a look at five common types of multifamily investment properties:

  1. Apartments have an independent building owner that rents out individual units to tenants. Buildings may contain only units or offer shared amenities for tenants, such as a pool or a fitness center.

  2. Mixed-use developments are adjacent to office, retail, and dining spaces, which provide access to workplaces, shops, restaurants, and transit.

  3. Age-restricted housing includes housing for seniors 55 and older.

  4. Low-income housing is subsidized housing offered through government programs and isn't compared to market-rate housing.

  5. Condominiums, co-ops, and townhomes are centered around the community and often come with shared amenities for residents. In a co-op, the investor purchases a share of the building and is given a long-term lease. The investor owns condos and townhomes and has to contribute to mortgage and property taxes.

Why Are Multifamily Units Appealing?

 

Multifamily assets appeal to some investors due to their liquidity — or how fast the property can be sold at market value. Additionally, multifamily properties provide a consistent income stream through tenant rent payments, and the property can often increase in value over time.


Multifamily Housing Trends: Focus On Live-Work-Play

 

Over the last decade, the multifamily sector has been experiencing a rise in mixed-use spaces, with renters preferring their homes, work, and entertainment all in one place. RentCafe insights showed that as of June 2022, the number of apartments in live-work-play communities increased from 10,000 flats in 2012 to 43,700 in 2022, indicating that this trend isn't likely to slow anytime soon.

Key Multifamily Statistics

  • As of 2019, there were over 43.9 million multifamily residences.

  • As of 2019, New York-New Jersey-Pennsylvania had the most prominent apartment stock, with around 2.4 million units.

  • In 2021, $335B was invested in multifamily assets.

  • As of January 2022, the average cost of constructing an apartment building in the U.S. was $11M.

  • As of April 2022, New York had the most multifamily residences.

 

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/commercial-multifamily-housing-industry-guide/

Saturday, March 25, 2023

The Dangers of Selling Commercial Property Too Late

The Dangers of Selling Commercial Property Too Late

The last downturn

cost those who chose to sell commercial property an average of

30.3% of their property value


Reason #1

Why people sell commercial property too late:

Complacency

 

Complacency is the most dangerous state to ignore.

It’s the moment before the market corrects and values decline. When the market goes through this initial correction, our natural tendency is to be complacent because initial corrections actually look like a cool-off period.

Then we expect the market to pick up again and continue with its growth phase.

But, the market continues to deteriorate and worries creep in as we wonder what is going on. Next, it is normal to say to yourself that your investments are good ones that they’ll ultimately come back.

When the market continues to soften until it seems there is no hope in coming back, that’s the absolute bottom of the market and the worst time to sell.

 

This point of capitulation is one of surrender and of asking how the government could let something like this happen.


Reason #2

Why people sell commercial property too late:

Ownership and Identity

 

In order to avoid loss, people will overvalue what they own.

That is what Richard Taylor, Daniel Kahneman, and Jack L. Knetsch identified with the Endowment Effect. In fact, Kahneman and Knetsch won the Nobel Peace Prize for their research in this area of behavioral economics.


It’s normal for people to overvalue what they own.


In a study with Cornell undergrads, broken into groups and given identical coffee cups, Kahneman and Knetsch told one group to value the cups they owned and the other group to value the cups they would purchase.

They found the undergrads with the coffee cups were unwilling to sell their coffee cups for less than $5.25 while their less fortunate peers were unwilling to pay more than $2.25 to $2.75.

But, it was Carey Morewedge’s research into the Endowment Effect that revealed that it’s not loss aversion that leads to overvaluation, it’s ownership and identity.

Morewedge found that it’s our sense of possession that creates the feeling of an object being mine, which then becomes a part of our identity.

 

Reason #3

Why people sell commercial property too late:

Loss Aversion

 

Why is it so difficult to sell commercial property in a market decline?

According to Brafman and Brafman, authors of Sway: The Irresistible Pull of Irrational Behavior people will go to great lengths to avoid perceived losses.

What’s more, people also succumb to their will to recover what once was.  They will spend whatever it takes not to lose, be it time, money, or emotional resources.

Imagine watching someone playing craps in Las Vegas. When they are on a roll, taking in their winnings, they race through the growth phase, reaching the peak of the game.

They feel ecstatic.

But what happens when the tide turns and they start to lose?

They enter the complacency stage, call it a short turn of bad luck, and keep playing.  They believe they will return to the top. But their bad luck continues.

By waiting to avoid losses, people hold off and then sell at the wrong time — maximizing their losses.

 

They lose their winnings, keep playing and generate losses. They would rather hold onto the idea of getting back to where they were at almost any cost than realizing their loss and moving on to another opportunity.


Reason #4

Why people sell commercial property too late:

Self Reliance Time Traps

Time Trap #1: Self-Education

 

People will self educate online because it is free and immediately available. A review of the search term on Google for “commercial real estate trends” returned 152 million results. A search for “commercial real estate trends YouTube” turned up 310 million results!

No doubt, an abundance of free information in the form of market data, blogs, market reports, and online opinions on what’s happening in the market is available.

Time Trap #2: Friends, Family, and Non-Commercial Advisors

 

When we aren’t sure what to do, we often consult friends, family, and non-commercial real estate advisors for input. Unfortunately, these people will not want to be the ones to say sell because it is easier to say no and risk being wrong than to say yes and risk not being right.

Plus, most of these folks will not have the data that you have seen here. These people are more likely to share anecdote based advice like “My friend made a killing in real estate. You should hold on, it will come back.” Remember, people who made this mistake lost in 2008-2010.

Time Trap #3: Hire a Traditional Broker

 

It is easy to find a traditional broker, given that 1 in 164 people in the United States today have a real estate license. According to the National Association of Realtors, there are about 2 million active real estate licensees in the United States.

The problem is that most traditional brokers do not specialize in Commercial Real Estate, Investment Sales and further specialization by property type. 


Have you thought of selling your property and would like to know what it's worth? Request a valuation for your property below:

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eXp Commercial Chicago Multifamily Brokerage focuses on listing and selling multifamily properties throughout the Chicago Area and Suburbs.

We don’t just market properties; we make a market for each property we represent. Each offering is thoroughly underwritten, aggressively priced, and accompanied by loan quotes to expedite the sales process. We leverage our broad national marketing platform syndicating to the top CRE Listing Sites for maximum exposure combined with an orchestrated competitive bidding process that yields higher sales prices for your property.

 

 

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/the-dangers-of-selling-commercial-property-too-late/

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