After the strong economic rebound in 2021, growth in the U.S. has slowed in the face of rising inflation, the household income squeeze, and geopolitical events. In commercial real estate, third-quarter 2022 data showed slowdowns in the apartment and office sectors, while industrial and retail retained strength.
eXp Commercial is one of the fastest-growing national commercial real estate brokerage firms. The Chicago Multifamily Brokerage Division focuses on listing and selling multifamily properties throughout the Chicago Area and Suburbs.
Friday, May 12, 2023
9301 Golf
9301 West Golf Rd | Des Plaines, IL 60016
Broker: Randolph Taylor rtaylor@creconsult.net | 630.474.6441
https://www.creconsult.net/golf-sumac-professional-building-medical-office-space-for-lease-9301-golf-rd-des-plaines-il-60016/
Thursday, May 11, 2023
Inflation War Take Their Toll
Multifamily
Multifamily absorption and rent growth decelerated in 2022, with absorption in the 60,000–70,000-unit range. That’s below pre-pandemic levels. In the meantime, rents rose year over year, but at a slower pace than a year ago. However, multifamily housing demand remains strong. Given rising mortgage rates and home prices, people may be forced to rent for longer due to decreasing affordability.
Office
As the country navigates hybrid work, the office sector continues to struggle. In Q3 2022, about 1.34 million more square feet of office space was vacant and placed on the market than was leased. Although more people returned to their offices, after four quarters with positive net absorption, demand for office space dropped. As a result, the market’s net demand for office spaces decreased relative to supply, and the national vacancy rate rose to 12.4% in Q3 2022 from 12.3% in the previous quarter. The office sector has the highest vacancy rate across all sectors.
Retail
Although spending slowed this fall, it remained strong in Q3 2022, driving growth in demand for retail spaces for the seventh straight quarter. Retail sales, excluding gas, auto, and non-store retailers, advanced to $383 billion in August, a 19% increase from August 2019. As a result, net absorption increased to 23.3 million square feet in Q3 2022, a 22% increase from the second quarter. Neighborhood retail that offers in-person services continues to advance even faster. Net absorption for neighborhood centers rose by 35 percentage points compared to the year’s second quarter.
Industrial
Demand for industrial property remains robust. Net absorption was nearly 425 million square feet in the 12 months ending in Q3 2022. Although demand may have tapered, the volume of industrial space absorbed continues to be double that of pre-pandemic times. As a result, this sector had the lowest vacancy rate in Q3 2022, at 4%.
With such strong demand, rent growth continues at historic highs, rising 12% year over year in Q3 2022. Rents are rising even faster for logistics space, at 13.5% year over year.
Source: Inflation War Take Their Toll
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/inflation-war-take-their-toll/What is Debt Yield and How Does it Apply in Commercial Real Estate
How to Calculate Debt Yield
The math required for a debt yield calculation is simple and easy. The debt yield formula is: Debt Yield = Net Operating Income / Loan Amount For example, consider the purchase of a property with $300,000 NOI and a loan of $3 million. In this example, the debt yield is 10 percent ($300,000 / $3,000,000 = 10%).What Does Debt Yield Tell You?
Lenders use debt yield ratios to determine what their return would be if a buyer immediately defaulted on a commercial real estate loan. Loans with low debt yields are considered riskier, as the lender would receive a smaller return in the event of foreclosure. Higher debt yields are less risky because the lender would receive a larger return and could recoup their losses faster. Once lenders know what annual return they’d receive, they can calculate how long it’d take to recoup the loss on a foreclosed property. This is done by dividing 100 percent by the debt yield ratio (annual return). The result is the number of years that it’d take to recoup all losses. Recoup Time = 100 / Debt Yield Assuming the above debt yield of 12 percent, the lender could recoup their investment in around 8.3 years (100% / 12% = 8.33 years). Borrowers can alternatively use the ratio to calculate the maximum loan amount a property can qualify for. If the allowed debt yield and net operating income are known, then the loan amount is the NOI divided by the debt yield. Maximum Loan Amount = Net Operating Income / Debt Yield If a lender requires a minimum debt yield of 10 percent, the maximum amount that the above example could qualify for would be $1.2 million ($120,000 / 0.10 = $1,200.000). (Of course, any maximum loan amount would also be subject to loan to value (LTV) and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) requirements. If a lender considers all three of these ratios, whichever has the lowest permitted loan amount is the one that sets the maximum amount borrowed.)How Debt Yield Applies to Commercial Real Estate
Lenders appreciate that debt yield ratio is insulated from variables that can skew loan to values, debt service coverages, and even cap rates. As extremely low-interest rates and spiking property values make accurate loan risk assessment more difficult, debt yield provides a consistent risk measurement when underwriting commercial real estate loans.Debt Yield vs. Loan to Value
Loan-to-value ratios depend heavily on the value of a commercial property, and this ratio is susceptible to large swings in property values. Borrowers can potentially get much larger loans when property values increase drastically, and lenders can be underwriting an underwater loan if property values then drop drastically. In contrast, debt yield ratios aren’t impacted by changes in property value. The loan itself is the underlying denominator, and not how much the property is worth. So long as net operating income doesn’t change, debt yield won’t change after a loan is underwritten.Debt Yield vs. Debt Service Coverage
Debt service coverage is based on the annual debt payment, which is affected by interest rate and amortization schedule. Thus, DSCR can be skewed by extreme interest rates (currently extremely low) and/or long amortizations. The DSCR for variable-rate loans will also change as interest rates increase. Debt yield is based on the loan amount, and thus won’t change with interest rates or amortization schedules. It is thus a more consistent measure in many situations, even though both measurements use net operating income.Debt Yield vs. Cap Rate
Although cap rate also looks at net operating income, this is based on the value of a property. Cap rate is thus susceptible to some of the same issues as loan to value is, and which debt yield is insulated against.What is an Acceptable Debt Yield?
The Comptroller’s Commercial Real Estate Lending booklet recommends a minimum debt yield of 10 percent, and most lenders that consider this metric follow that recommendation. In certain situations, lenders may allow a 9 percent debt yield for desirable properties in major markets (e.g. New York City, Los Angeles). Ratios of 8 percent for truly exceptional properties are quite rare, although not altogether unheard of. Notably, debt yield is based on current net operating income. Projected rent increases or NOI growth isn’t considered when calculating the ratio, so adjusting projections generally won’t have an impact on whether debt yield meets a lender’s minimum requirement.Source: What is Debt Yield and How Does it Apply in Commercial Real Estate
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/what-is-debt-yield-and-how-does-it-apply-in-commercial-real-estate-2/Wednesday, May 10, 2023
DMG Capital acquires multifamily portfolio in Orland Park
DMG Capital, the multifamily investment affiliate of Chicago-based Daniel Management Group (DMG) completed the acquisition of Alice Mae Court, a multifamily townhome portfolio in Orland Park, Illinois, for $5.36 million. Alice Mae Court will be marketed by DMG affiliate DMG Leasing and professionally managed by DMG.
“This acquisition allows us to strategically add rental townhomes to DMG Capital’s multifamily portfolio while at the same time maintaining our disciplined investment focus of pursuing properties that are well-located with strong revenue growth potential,” said DMG Capital President and Co-Founder Roger Daniel. “Alice Mae Court is an optimal opportunity as it is new, high-end construction that is well-located in highly desirable Orland Park directly across from Centennial Park and just steps from the 153rd Street Metra Station.”
Alice Mae Court consists of 16 townhomes with a mix of large three- and four-bedroom units that include high-end finishes throughout, in-unit laundry, private balconies and attached two-car heated garage parking spaces.
The Alice Mae Court townhomes directly address the post-COVID demand for flexible living spaces that allow residents to live and work at home and have greater access to the outdoors. It also exemplifies the increased focus from investors on suburban properties that meet resident needs in sought after locations.
Source: DMG Capital acquires multifamily portfolio in Orland Park
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/dmg-capital-acquires-multifamily-portfolio-in-orland-park/Tuesday, May 9, 2023
Off-Market Multifamily Sellers Are Leaving A Ton Of Money On The Table
Off-Market Multifamily Sellers Are Leaving A Ton Of Money On The Table
Marketing a property can increase the sale price by up to 23%, which runs counter to the idea that off-market deals can achieve higher values because a buyer will be more aggressive to seal a trade.
The perception is when a seller has one buyer vying for an asset, that buyer is more aggressive and willing to pay a premium because they don’t want the seller to get into a bidding war for the property. Our research found the opposite.
This is a sign it is in the best interests of owners to undergo a marketing campaign for their properties. Growing allocations from institutional investors toward real estate are still driving a sizable pool of investors into bidding for multifamily assets, and a full campaign is what drives the premiums.
The job of a broker to create a competitive environment on behalf of the seller. Putting a building on the market determines the strongest buyer.
That may not be necessarily based on price alone. If one buyer has a higher-priced offer but weak financial backing, versus a buyer with a stronger track record, taking a lower offer is the way to go. It’s our job to give the seller those options and we do that by marketing properties and generating the highest number of qualified offers possible.
There are numerous case studies where a seller received an off-market bid, put it on the market, and the off-market buyer still bought the asset but at a higher price.
Have you thought of selling your property and would like to know what it's worth? Request a valuation for your property below:
eXp Commercial Chicago Multifamily Brokerage focuses on listing and selling multifamily properties throughout the Chicago Area and Suburbs.
We don’t just market properties; we make a market for each property we represent. Each offering is thoroughly underwritten, aggressively priced, and accompanied by loan quotes to expedite the sales process. We leverage our broad national marketing platform syndicating to the top CRE Listing Sites for maximum exposure combined with an orchestrated competitive bidding process that yields higher sales prices for your property.
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/off-market-multifamily-sellers-are-leaving-a-ton-of-money-on-the-table/
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2023 eXp Commercial Commercial Real Estate Symposium
The Commercial Real Estate Symposium will provide junior and senior agents and brokers with valuable insights on topics, including: international opportunities, capital and funding for small businesses in today’s market, how to attract investors, and much more.
Dates: April 25-26, 2023
Start Time: 9 a.m. - 4 p.m. CST
Location: eXp Commercial Campus
We look forward to seeing you in the metaverse!
Important: Please download the virtual eXp Commercial Campus prior to the event, and follow the instructions to login and create your avatar. Feel free to explore the campus before the event begins.
Interested in Joining eXp Commercial as a Commercial Real Estate Agent?
Further Info
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/2023-exp-commercial-commercial-real-estate-symposium/Multifamily Investment Opportunity – Showings Scheduled Join us for a showing of two fully occupied, cash-flowing multifamily properties id...
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🚨 Auction Alert 🚨 I’m excited to announce that a prime 17.25-acre residential development property at 150 Harbor Club Dr, Hobart, IN, is g...