Tax Efficient Growth with 1031 Exchanges

Private real estate is often an attractive investment option for investors seeking tax efficiency. It creates some opportunities for tax deductions, but investors can also defer capital gains taxes on the sale of an investment property by engaging in a 1031 exchange. Doing so allows you to reinvest your entire sales proceeds into a new replacement property and creates the ability to “buy up,” purchasing a new property of higher value or better quality.

Since there are no limits to the number of times you can engage in a 1031 exchange, it’s possible to repeatedly roll your gains into upgraded property holdings, continually deferring capital gains taxes, and potentially growing your wealth through additional capital appreciation.

Engaging in a “Like-Kind Exchange”

The rules for a 1031 exchange are defined under Section 1031 of the U.S. Tax Code. A 1031 exchange allows investment property owners to defer their capital gains taxes on a property sale by purchasing a “like-kind” replacement property. However, the definition of a “like-kind” property is far broader than you may think.

The IRS defines like-kind properties based on the "nature or character" of the property rather than on the "grade or quality.” Therefore, virtually any real estate property is considered “like-kind” to any other piece of real estate property.

This means that you could exchange a single-family rental home for an industrial warehouse, a piece of raw land for a shopping complex, and so on. Since this definition provides significant leeway, it can also create opportunities for additional portfolio diversification across various property types.

Working with a Qualified Intermediary

To protect the preferential tax treatment provided by a 1031 exchange, it’s imperative to work with a Qualified Intermediary (QI) from the very beginning of the exchange process. A QI is an independent, disinterested third party, that is a person, company, or entity that facilitates a 1031 exchange. During a 1031 exchange, a taxpayer cannot ever receive proceeds from the sale of the relinquished property. Therefore, when engaging in an exchange, the QI must perform the transaction.

In this scenario, the QI acquires the property from the taxpayer, transfers it to the buyer, and holds the sales proceeds. Then, when the taxpayer is ready to purchase the replacement property, the QI uses the funds to acquire the property from the seller and transfers it to the taxpayer.

1031 Exchange Timelines

In addition to working with an approved QI, investors must also meet specific time restrictions, known as the 45-day and the 180-day deadlines.

The 45-day deadline requires you to identify your potential replacement property or properties within 45 calendar days from the day you sell your relinquished property. This identification must be in writing and submitted to your QI. You can typically identify up to three properties. In some cases, you may be able to identify more as long as they fall within specific valuation tests.

The 180-day deadline requires you to close on one or more of the identified properties by the 180^th day after you closed on the relinquished property. These two timelines run concurrently, so it’s important to note that if you take the full 45-days to identify your property, you’ll only have an additional 135 days to close.

Tax-Efficient Real Estate Investing

To learn more about the potential tax advantages offered by private real estate investments, download our complimentary ebook, “Tax Advantaged Investing: The Power of Private Real Estate.” Inside, you’ll find information about tax-advantaged income potential, Qualified Opportunity Funds, estate planning using 1031 exchanges, and more.

 

Source: Tax Efficient Growth with 1031 Exchanges

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/tax-efficient-growth-with-1031-exchanges/

Just Sold! Former UAW Local No 145 Office Building Montgomery IL

Montgomery, IL September 29th, 2022 – eXp Commercial (NASDAQ: EXPI), the fastest growing national commercial real estate brokerage firm, announced today the sale of a 6,758 SF Office Building located in Montgomery, IL.

The property is located at 1700 Oakton Rd in West Suburban Chicago Montgomery, IL and consists of a free-standing 6,758 SF Office Building/Meeting Hall on a 4.7 acre lot. This surplus property intended for the expansion of the adjacent 152 Unit Multifamily Property Victorian Apartments also sold by Randolph Taylor, was formerly owned and operated by the United Auto Workers Local No 145 in Montgomery. The Buyers of the property will be operating the property as a Church. 

This was an exclusive listing and the transaction was brokered and both Buyer and Seller were represented by Randolph Taylor a Senior Associate and Multifamily Investment Sales Broker with the Chicago-Naperville eXp Commercial office.

Randolph can be contacted at (630) 474-6441  |  rtaylor@creconsult.net  

https://www.creconsult.net/company-news/just-sold-former-uaw-local-no-145-office-building-montgomery-il/

No huge drop-off coming: Multifamily market expected to remain hot into 2023

Renters and investors are still seeking out multifamily space. And the demand for apartment living is showing no signs of slowing, according to Kia Crooms, area vice president of the Midwestern region for King of Prussia, Pennsylvania-based Morgan Properties.

We spoke with Crooms about the enduring strength of the multifamily market and why Morgan Properties is eager to expand its apartment holdings in the Midwest. Here is what she had to say.

Why has demand remained so strong for multifamily properties for so long? What are the factors fueling the long hot streak of this asset class?
Kia Crooms: The economy has certainly helped. There has been excellent job growth in the United States. Wages for individuals continue to rise. People have access to cash. At the same time, the supply chain issues persist. That makes it difficult to build as many new homes as people want. Renting, then, is a great option for people today.

Housing prices are high, too. That is inspiring more people to rent. We are seeing an excellent retention ratio when it comes to lease renewals. Folks are even selling their homes, taking out the cash, and downsizing to apartments and townhomes. They want the lifestyle and the lack of maintenance that comes with renting instead of owning.

What about rising interest rates? What impact is that having on the number of people who want to rent instead of buy?
Crooms: When interest rates are higher, people are more likely to rent. But our investors are still excited about multifamily properties, too. Our investors continue to be excited about different markets, especially when it comes to the Midwest. There are many markets in the Midwest that are always strong.

Morgan Properties has made several recent multifamily acquisitions. We entered the Indianapolis market with a property of more than 2,100 units. We have also recently entered the Chicago suburbs with purchases in Elgin, Palatine, and Schaumburg. We continue to find ways to build our portfolio.

Why make the move to Indianapolis? What attracted you to this market?
Crooms: As an organization, we are oversaturated with properties in the East Coast and Sunbelt regions. Indianapolis was an untapped market for us. We like the growth potential in the Indianapolis area. There are some good meat-and-potatoes properties there when it comes to Class-B assets. There is a Class-B market there that is untapped and in our wheelhouse. We do that section of the market well. We like to buy those properties and add value to them.

–          Morgan Properties’ The Gates of Deer Grove in Palatine, Illinois.

What are renters looking for today from multifamily properties?
Crooms: Coming out of a pandemic, people are now looking to be outside. They are looking for more space. They are looking for everything from outdoor kitchens and grilling spaces to fire pits that they can use in the evenings. They want to really live and gather with family and friends. That’s why we like the Class-B garden-style apartment communities. There are so many value-add opportunities. We can add a lot to the outdoor spaces in these communities.

The way people are living today, things like dog parks have become more essential to folks. They want that off-leash exercise for their furry friends. They want open kitchens outside or splash parks in tandem with swimming pools. Anything that involves spending time with family and friends is important today.

There is no one-size-fits-all list of amenities, though. What works in Michigan might not work in New Jersey.

Speaking of the pandemic, it seems like the multifamily sector held up really well even during the worst days of COVID and that the sector has emerged even stronger today.
Crooms: There were some industries that were hit hard by the pandemic, such as hospitality and retail. We did see some softness when it came to rent collection, but our team members were good at being that expert when it came to helping people source those funds. The government and other agencies offered financial assistance that we could connect people to. There were no off days for our staff during the pandemic. We were there to be of service to the residents.

Today, many renters are staying in place and renewing their leases. Many are doing this because they are nervous about making the move to buying a single-family home with how the interest rates are rising. They might not have the money for a down payment. This all makes multifamily a strong option for people.

Do you plan on acquiring more properties in the Midwest?
Crooms: We do. We are always looking for growth opportunities. Even if we wanted to rest, our investors and employees won’t allow it. It is so lucrative out there now in the multifamily space. We are interested in those value-add opportunities where we can find more meat on the bone by upgrading apartments and townhomes and the amenities in those spaces. That is in our wheelhouse. That is where we win and where we are always looking to expand and grow.

Do you upgrade these Class-B properties enough to turn them into Class-A space?
Crooms: Sometimes that does happen. It depends on the spend and the demographic we are trying to serve. It’s about what the market dictates for a property. We want to make the changes that people want to see, bring in what has been missing from a development. That’s the recipe. We’ve done it over and over, but every property is different. The same amenities don’t work everywhere. We do our due diligence when it comes to the market. We study what people want to see.

The multifamily market has been strong for so long. Do you see demand for apartments, from both renters and investors, continuing to hold steady or rise throughout the rest of this year and into next?
Crooms: We will continue to see strong numbers. Some markets might soften a bit, but I don’t see any huge drop-off happening. The supply chain issues have not been fixed yet when it comes to building new single-family homes. We still don’t have enough housing to get everyone’s heads into beds. Adult children who moved back with their parents will be leaving again to find their own places to live. People are branching out and getting their own apartments and townhomes. One household is now becoming two. Do I see occupancy in the multifamily sector softening a bit? Sure. But I don’t see a huge drop-off. Our occupancy numbers and demand for apartments will both remain high.

 

Source: No huge drop-off coming: Multifamily market expected to remain hot into 2023

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/no-huge-drop-off-coming-multifamily-market-expected-to-remain-hot-into-2023/

eXp Commercial Partner O’Connor Focuses on Property Tax Reduction

When asked about the greatest challenges their clients face, real estate agents often mention cash flow and high commercial and residential real estate costs. To provide solutions to these hurdles, the eXp Partners program has partnered with O’Connor, a property tax consulting firm.

 

Through O’Connor, eXp Realty residential and commercial agents can help their clients reduce high costs through property tax reduction, federal tax reduction through cost segregation, and commercial appraisals. O’Connor only charges clients a fee if they successfully reduce their taxes.

eXp real estate agents and their clients have access to the following through eXp Partner O’Connor:

• Residential Property Tax Reduction: O’Connor’s tax consultants provide valuation intelligence and work with the assessor, appraisal review board, and judicial appeal process.
• Commercial Property Tax Reduction: Licensed tax agents help eXp Commercial clients by filing an appeal, reviewing financials, protesting over-assessed property values, and pursuing every legal avenue to lower taxes.
• Federal Tax Reduction: O’Connor helps eXp Commercial clients increase cash flow by reducing taxable income through cost segregation, a tool that allocates property components for federal income tax depreciation calculations.
• Commercial Appraisal: O’Connor’s appraisers gather and analyze data to make informed decisions about real estate values.

To enroll or learn more about services, contact us.

Interested in jump-starting your real estate career? Join Us

 

Source: eXp Commercial Partner O’Connor Focuses on Property Tax Reduction

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/exp-commercial-partner-oconnor-focuses-on-property-tax-reduction/

How To Lower Your Taxes As a Real Estate Investor

1031 Exchanges, Delaware Statutory Trusts, Opportunity Zone Funds, and Other Tax Reduction Strategies

When it comes to tax avoidance strategies, most real estate investors are probably familiar with the 1031 “like-kind” exchange, in which an investor can defer a tax liability — capital gains, depreciation, or even state and local income tax and the 3.8% net investment income tax — from the sale of a property by acquiring a similar investment property.

Essentially, this allows you to sell one property and purchase another without paying any taxes, provided you follow basic rules.

For example, one requirement is that you identify the replacement property within 45 days of the sale and conclude the purchase of the replacement property within 180 days of the sale.

Some investors even take the “swap until you drop” approach, whereby they continue to sell properties and acquire new ones without ever paying taxes on the sales.

In addition to the tax deferment benefits, a 1031 exchange gives your heirs a step-up in basis to current market value when you pass away.

For example, imagine that you purchase a property for $500,000, and it is depreciated over 20 years. The property is now valued at $2 million, and you and your spouse pass away. Your heirs would automatically receive a step-up in basis to $2 million, so they can sell the day after you pass away and pay no taxes.

There is one problem with 1031 exchanges for many investors, and that is the current frenetic property investment environment.

While the present market might allow an investor to sell their property at a record high, they will also be in the position of having to pay a steep price for their replacement property.

And with the 45-day clock ticking in the background, many investors may not have adequate time to identify a suitable replacement property. This kind of fevered market can lead investors to make less than sound choices. As my college property and tax professor, Dr. George Earl, once said: “Tax savings don’t make a bad investment decision good. It only makes a good investment decision better.”

The good news is that there are alternatives to the traditional 1031 exchange.

Delaware Statutory Trust

Instead of reinvesting the proceeds of your property sale into another investment property, you could exchange those proceeds into a Delaware Statutory Trust (DST).

A DST is a legally recognized trust that has been established to conduct business. Many DSTs hold institutional-grade properties; in this sense, they are similar to a real estate investment trust (REIT), but they offer investors the option to invest in them as part of a 1031 exchange, which is typically not possible with a REIT.

A DST has several important advantages. Firstly, it eases issues stemming from the time constraints of the 1031 exchange, as it is simpler (and quicker) for investors to identify an appropriate and established DST than a replacement investment property, particularly in the current climate.

Secondly, it enables you to remain invested in real estate as an asset class without the stress and time commitment of being a landlord. It can also be a particularly viable solution for investors whose mortgage exceeds their tax basis in a property.

DSTs generally require a five- to 10-year time commitment. They typically distribute income and potentially offer the opportunity for capital gain (or loss). However, to qualify for a DST, you must be an accredited investor.

Opportunity Zone Funds

Another option that investors should consider is a qualified opportunity zone fund (OZF). An advantage of this strategy is that it allows you to invest just your capital gains and your depreciation recapture. This enables you to sell the property, withdraw your tax-free basis and defer the additional taxable funds. Some (though not all) states are supporting these tax breaks by ensuring the state and local income tax rules are aligned with the federal tax regulations.

By investing in an OZF, you defer your taxes on the eligible capital gains (realized within the last 180 days) until the tax year 2026 (April 15, 2027 filing deadline). If you invest in an OZF before the end of 2021, you will also receive a 10% step-up on a cost basis. Many OZFs also structure a cash-out refinance of approximately 30 – 45% in time to pay your deferred tax bill by April 2027.

As with a DST, OZFs can provide annual income (generally from year four or five through to year 10). Further, if the property is held for 10 years (and one day), it receives a step-up in basis for both appreciation and depreciation. This means that the property could be sold without triggering any capital gains tax liability.

However, similar to a DST, it’s important to conduct due diligence on both the underlying investment and the manager of the fund. OZFs typically represent a 10-year investment structure, and you must be an accredited investor.

Deferred Sales Trust

One lesser-known but potentially beneficial option is a deferred sales trust. With a deferred sales trust, you can sell your highly appreciated assets, including investment properties, primary residences, vacation, and second homes, and defer the capital gains taxes and depreciation recapture taxes — perhaps indefinitely.

In a deferred sales trust, you are not the owner of the trust; you are a promissory note holder against the assets of the trust, and the trust makes payments to you. To effect this, you would sell your investment property to the trust, and the trust, in turn, would sell the property to the end buyer. The proceeds of the sale are paid to the trust at the time of closing on this simultaneous transaction.

One significant advantage of this approach is that an investor doesn’t have to contend with the 45-day time constraint inherent to 1031 exchanges. But there are other attributes to consider.

What if you could use the funds from a sale in 2021 to buy real estate later without having a tax liability? Imagine if you sold a property in 2007, at the peak of the last cycle, and you were able to park the money on the sidelines and then use it to acquire properties in 2010?

There are many different ways to structure a deferred sales trust, and it can even potentially be used in combination with a 1031 exchange or paired with an OZF. The deferred sales trust can be structured to pay just interest payments on your promissory note or principal and interest payments. If you choose principal and interest payments, then you would be responsible for some of your capital gains taxes and depreciation recapture taxes, if applicable.

But most investors that avail themselves of a deferred sales trust structure choose interest-only payments that are taxed as ordinary. This lessens your cash flow from the trust, but it also ameliorates your tax burden by deferring taxes owed on capital gains and depreciation recapture.

Deferred sales trusts are structured to run for 10 years, but they can be easily extended for multiple additional 10-year cycles. It’s worth noting that deferred sales trusts are a bit more complex than some other vehicles or strategies that investors might be considering, and there are carrying costs and trust establishment fees to contend with, as well. But, if you have capital gains that exceed $500,000, this could be a viable option to consider.

Whatever tactics you elect to utilize, the most important thing is to weigh these strategies against your short- and long-term objectives for the property, as well as your overall portfolio.

Tax strategies should be merely one facet of a holistic approach that fosters enduring value for your assets.

 

Source: How To Lower Your Taxes As a Real Estate Investor

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/how-to-lower-your-taxes-as-a-real-estate-investor/

Why One Industry Vet Says Now Is The Golden Age Of Multifamily Investment

‘Quite simply, multifamily performs,’ says Capital Square CEO and founder Louis Rogers ahead of GlobeSt’s Multifamily Conference in October

There’s never been a better time to deploy capital into the multifamily asset class, according to one industry veteran, who says now is the “golden age” of multifamily investment. 

 “We are truly in an incredible time,” says Louis Rogers, founder, and chief executive of Capital Square. “It’s easy to raise money for DSTs, REITs, LLCs, and Opportunity Zone funds.  We’re all investing in multifamily because quite simply, multifamily performs.” 

Rogers oversees Capital Square’s Delaware statutory trust programs for investors seeking qualifying replacement property for Section 1031 tax-deferred exchanges and regular (non-exchange) investors. A nationally recognized authority in structuring securities offerings for real estate investments, Rogers will offer his insights on how to raise capital for multifamily investments in a special session on Tuesday, October 25, at GlobeSt’s Multifamily conference in Los Angeles.

 

“Multifamily performance has been off the charts during the pandemic,” Rogers tells GlobeSt.com, noting that Capital Square has seen rent collections hovering between 99% and 100% each month from 2020 to the present. “Performance has been better than ever and better than pro forma.”

That’s particularly been true for markets across the Southeast and the Sun Belt, which have benefited from pandemic-era migration patterns away from gateway cities and companies like Tesla and Amazon laying down HQ stakes in the region, he says.

“So much has happened to make housing popular in the Southeast and Texas, and then you add to that a housing shortage of 4 million units,” he says.  “And the result is that it’s really the golden age to raise money for multifamily investment because this asset class performs phenomenally well – in spite of a global pandemic bringing life to a complete standstill and adversely impacting other asset classes.”

 

Rogers says Capital Square, which is headquartered in Richmond, Va. (“definitely below the radar screen”) likes smaller cities and secondary markets like Richmond, Chattanooga, Virginia Beach, and Jacksonville when it looks for investment targets.

Housing unaffordability is also a piece of the equation, Rogers says, as consumers have likely exhausted their pandemic-era savings, and mortgage rates have increased significantly as prices also skyrocketed.  And that means that more consumers will be looking to rent the nicest home they can afford while they build credit and a down payment toward a property of their own.

When the pandemic hit, Rogers says, “people said prices needed to go down, and they didn’t. They stayed the same.” And after a few interest rate increases, prices cooled a touch – but “the asset is so strong, and the economics so strong, that in spite of a recession, inflation, and a pandemic the rent actually increased while occupancy was near 100%.”

 

Rogers says he expects rent increases to level off but notes that Capital Square “always models” off 3% rent growth, “and we expect we’ll move back toward the mean, which is perfectly fine.” He isn’t worried about rent increases settling into a normal range, he says, because “multifamily does just fine under all circumstances, good and bad.”

“In the Great Financial Crisis, we saw thousands of office buildings that were lost in foreclosure,” he says. “I can’t think of a single apartment community with a normal amount of leverage that was lost. Multifamily offers the perfect scenario: you can lower rent, offer concessions, and stay afloat. You can always adjust.”

“Cap rates are very low,” he says. “And institutional investors are not seeking the highest yields; they seek reliability and stability for the long haul. That’s what you get with multifamily.”

 

Source: Why One Industry Vet Says Now Is The Golden Age Of Multifamily Investment

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/why-one-industry-vet-says-now-is-the-golden-age-of-multifamily-investment/

Term Tuesday: Fannie Mae. For commercial real estate investors, #FannieMae #Multifamily #loans may prove to be a feasible way of obtaining lower costing financing. It is one of the largest sources of capital within this market in the U.S. View our Guide to Multifamily Real Estate Loans and obtain quotes from hundreds of lenders from eXp Commercial's National Capital Markets Partner CommLoan. The Largest Commercial Real-Estate Lending Marketplace. https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/guide-to-commercial-multifamily-real-estate-loans/

5 Incentives to Increase Multifamily Lease Renewals

Resident retention remains a high priority, and these five incentives can help earn renewals.

5 Incentives to Increase Multifamily Lease Renewals -

It costs a whopping $3,976 to replace one of your residents when they don’t renew their lease, which is up from $3,850 last year, according to Zego’s “The 2022 State of Resident Experience Management Report.”

One of the most valuable assets to any apartment manager is current residents and, as such, resident retention should be one of the highest priorities. To do that, you need exciting apartment renewal incentives to remain competitive. Here are five renewal incentives to try:

1. Free Apartment Upgrade

While it may not be possible to avoid increasing rents in the community, one way to incentivize residents to renew their leases is by offering more value. That value could be presented as an apartment upgrade for the same rate or at a discounted rate from their current apartment.

The upgrade does not always have to be a larger apartment, it could be in a better location at the property or one that includes an in-unit washer/dryers and a balcony or patio. And if you don’t have any available upgrades, you can offer to improve your resident’s current apartment as an incentive. For example, upgrading the appliances is a great way to elevate the apartment and even justify a rent increase.

2. Resident Events

According to Satisfacts, resident events are one of the significant drivers of lease renewals. Resident events can help establish stronger connections and relationships between residents, which can improve a community’s turnover rate.

However, planning a successful resident event is much easier said than done — especially for the busy multifamily marketing professional.

Here are a few resident event ideas:

3. Free Month of Rent

Once you lose a resident, that means you have to start over by building trust and a relationship with the new resident.

Consider incentivizing your best residents because one significant reason someone might not renew their lease is financial concerns. A free or discount on their first month’s rent could mitigate those worries.

4. Invest in Smart Locks

While you can never promise 100% safety and security anywhere, you still want your residents to feel safe and relaxed in their homes. Upgrading your property with smart locks or controlled, gated access can offer them peace of mind (and justify a rent increase, if needed).

5. Concierge Services

Residents value convenience any way they can get it. From partnering with dry cleaners or grocery delivery apps, there are many ways to offer concierge-style services at the community. These added services can help incentivize renewals as well as justify a rent increase, especially if you add multiple services.

For example, consider integrating convenience or property management apps on a resource page on your website, along with discount codes to use the services. Millennials and Gen Z are accustomed to these mobile conveniences, and there’s no reason their multifamily property can’t offer the same.

Add Convenience and Value to Earn Renewals

Ultimately, when it comes to resident retention, convenience is key. Moving out of an apartment is stressful. Nobody wants to move if they can avoid it; avoid providing a reason for residents to not renew their lease. If it’s more convenient for your residents to stay in their apartment, then they will, but it’s up to the property team to earn that renewal.

Source: 5 Incentives to Increase Multifamily Lease Renewals

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/5-incentives-to-increase-multifamily-lease-renewals/

Higher-Income Renters Pay the Biggest Rent Hikes and are Least Likely to Miss a Rent Payment

Here’s one of the most widely misunderstood realities of rental affordability: The renters seeing the largest rent hikes are upper-income households in the most expensive rentals, and despite larger rent increases, they’re least likely to miss a rent payment.

On the flip side, rent payments have fallen the most in subsidized affordable housing – where rents have grown the least, since those rents are typically set to a share of income.

So it’s not all about the rent, clearly. Yes, rent growth is a big part of the equation. But its impact tends to be mischaracterized and overstated.

The average renter in market-rate Class A and B units has seen rents increase 14 to 15% since March 2020, according to RealPage Market Analytics. (These are actual in-place rents, not asking rents.) Those renters are paying 96% to 97% of the rent due each month, which is off 1 percentage point from pre-COVID levels.

Why are these renters able to keep paying higher rents at essentially normal levels? Well, it all comes back to income. Class A and B renter households have seen incomes rise nearly as fast as rent (among new lease signers, where income is tracked at signing). A typical Class A renter household (including roommates) now has annual income of $135,000, while a typical Class B renter household is $99,600.

It’s a different story in Class C, also sometimes called “workforce housing.” Household incomes in Class C have grown, too, but annual wages remain lower at $62,000. While Class C in-place rents grew a lesser (but still significant) 10% since March 2020, we’ve seen a bit more distress in this group. Class C rent collections were lower than Class A and B pre-COVID, and that gap has widened a bit more since COVID hit.

And it’s even more challenging in the subsidized Affordable Housing space. Affordable housing typically locks the rent at a level relative to income (specific programs can vary). But that rent stability hasn’t been enough to help all Affordable renters. In fact, rent collections have fallen about 4 percentage points since COVID hit to just under 87%.

Three Takeaways:

1) Renters in Class C and Affordable are most price sensitive, but it’s not all about the rent. When other consumer costs skyrocket (like groceries, up 13%), there’s less money available to pay rent for some households.

2) Renters making the highest incomes tend to pay the largest rent increases. This is why it’s SO CRITICAL to segment the rental market. Too many pundits paint it with a very broad brush that distorts the facts around rental affordability.

3) No matter how you slice it, actual rent collections are significantly higher than what the experimental and tiny Census Household Pulse Survey is showing. The Census itself warns that their rent payment surveys have major statistical holes, yet those warnings are routinely disregarded by those who use their data.

What Does This Mean for the Road Ahead?

Despite headlines to the contrary, rental affordability has been more of a tailwind than a headwind – particularly for the market-rate, professionally managed rental housing sector. We detailed rental affordability in depth in a study released in July examining rents and incomes from 7 million leases – the largest-ever study on rental affordability. In the report, we noted some of the reasons why market-rate renters have outperformed the government’s national averages for wage growth.

But the road ahead is less clear. Rent growth is mitigating to more normal levels. Resident retention rates are moderating back down from all-time highs. Rising mortgage rates, contrary to conventional wisdom, are not boosting demand for rentals. In fact, we’re on track to record net absorption well below the record peaks of 2021 (though still at healthy levels). And eroding consumer sentiment amidst inflation appears to be eating away at household formation and housing demand.

On the positive side, job growth remains strong in most markets – and unemployment very low. Those are strong tailwinds for continued wage growth.

In any scenario, though, it’s unlikely renters will face anything like the COVID-era lockdowns that resulted in 20 million job losses. Even then, rent collections held up much better than expected – long before stimulus and rental assistance programs kicked in (which helped later on). And while consumer costs are much higher now due to inflation, that recent history of renter resilience is a good indicator should the economy sputter again.

 

Source: Higher-Income Renters Pay the Biggest Rent Hikes and are Least Likely to Miss a Rent Payment

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/higher-income-renters-pay-the-biggest-rent-hikes-and-are-least-likely-to-miss-a-rent-payment/

HUD Announces Increased Payment Standards, More Vouchers | National Apartment Association

On September 1, 2022, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) released its updated fair market rents (FMRs) for fiscal year 2023. Each year, HUD updates the FMRs to, among other things, set a reasonable payment standard for public housing agency (PHA) payments to housing providers participating in the Section 8 Housing Choice Voucher (HCV) program. Nationally, the average FMR increased by about 10 percent. This update to payment standards comes at a critical time when pandemic recovery, inflationary pressures, and the massive housing shortage have forced average rents up across the country. For example, FMRs in Phoenix will increase by 33 percent in response to significant demand. “These new FMRs will make it easier for voucher holders facing this challenge to access affordable housing in most housing markets while expanding the range of housing opportunities available to households,” said HUD Secretary Marcia Fudge in a press release. Here are some of the key takeaways from the announcement.

New Data sources

Typically, HUD utilizes the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS) to estimate the 40th percentile gross rents of households that recently moved into an area. This often provides an accurate picture of near-median rents for new leases. Last year, however, the Census Bureau announced that it would not release the estimates from the 2020 ACS because the COVID-19 pandemic had interfered with data collection. Instead, HUD supplemented private market data to maintain the accuracy of the FMRs, sourcing data from RealPage, Moody’s Analytics, CoStar Group, CoreLogic, Apartment List and Zillow, as examples. Industry groups, including NAA, raised concerns about the use of this data. Using private data precludes stakeholders from checking to see if the data are consistent across time and location, and if they are representative of the population in question rather than collected based on the company’s anticipated ability to sell them. HUD is expected to use solely once again the ACS data in the following years.

New Vouchers

In addition to higher rates, HUD will award approximately 19,700 new Housing Choice Vouchers to PHAs. This increase is made available by the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2022 which was signed into law on March 15, 2022. HUD has sent a notification to eligible PHAs informing them of the new vouchers providing a deadline of September 2 to accept or decline the increase.

Policy Outlook

The National Apartment Association (NAA) urges policymakers to adopt responsible and sustainable housing policies. Additional vouchers and FMR increases are desperately needed for low- and moderate-income households and housing providers who have been thrust into financial uncertainty amid economic turmoil due to the pandemic. Nevertheless, there is more to be done. The HCV Program is fraught with payment delays, impractical inspection requirements and administrative red tape which makes housing provider participation infeasible in countless markets. To help address the industry’s concerns, NAA continue to prioritize and encourage support for the Choice in Affordable Housing Act (S. 1820/H.R. 6880), introduced by Senators Chris Coons (D-DE) and Kevin Cramer (R-ND) in the Senate, and by Representatives Emmanuel Cleaver (D-MO-05) and John Katko (R-NY-24) in the House. NAA worked closely with the bill’s sponsors to include several industry priorities, which were formulated with NAA member feedback, in the legislation to speed up tenancy approval processes, reduce duplicative inspections requirements and provide better ongoing support for housing provider participants. We look forward to continuing this work with Congress and the Administration to advance the industry’s advocacy goals and responsibly and sustainably address the nation’s housing affordability challenges. For more information on Housing Choice Voucher Program policy, please contact Ben Harrold, NAA’s Manager of Public Policy.

Source: HUD Announces Increased Payment Standards, More Vouchers | National Apartment Association

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/hud-announces-increased-payment-standards-more-vouchers-national-apartment-association/

An Inflection Point for Multifamily Lending - Freddie Mac

 

Freddie Mac, and agency lending in general, has been foundational to the success of the multifamily industry in the post-Great Recession era. Prior to our more active role in the financing of rental housing, the market lacked stability and liquidity throughout the cycle. Workforce and Targeted Affordable Housing were particularly deficient and inconsistent sources of debt. Today we lead the industry in this highly affordable space where we lend expertise in addition to capital.

At no time was this truer than in our response to the pandemic housing market. Fulfilling our countercyclical role, we stayed on the field as many capital sources moved to the sidelines. The result was a debt market that continued to perform efficiently. Multifamily transactions never stopped, and borrowers benefited from a historically low-rate environment. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae also extended unprecedented flexibility to borrowers and essential protections to tenants in a way that no other debt capital sources could.

As the economy recovered from the pandemic, multifamily housing demand accelerated, vacancies cratered, and rents shot up like nothing we have ever seen before. There are a host of reasons why this happened. A long-run housing supply shortage that predates COVID-19 worsened as a result of pandemic-related supply chain issues, labor shortages, and construction delays. A highly competitive single-family market drove more households to become or remain renters. The desire for more personal space caused roommates to seek solo accommodations. Remote work enabled office workers to relocate. Certainly not least, higher salaries and inflation shifted the demand curve.

We saw big changes on the supply side too. Investor interest in multifamily throughout the capital stack jumped markedly. In a world of economic uncertainty, multifamily is a proven, reliable asset class and an inflation hedge to boot. With rising net operating incomes and values, it has been the place to be for many investors. This surge in capital has also driven new construction – an excellent signal that supply has room to grow even if never fast enough.

Today we’re at something of an inflection point. Inflation risk and recession fears have many debt providers tightening or closing up. At the same time, we have a negative leverage issue with note rates catching up to, and in some cases surpassing, cap rates which have been trending down for some time. Fewer deals seem to pencil in as interest rates surpass investment returns. As a result, the market is in a period of transition.

The fundamentals, however, are very strong, and lenders that maintained credit discipline and appropriately distributed risk are well positioned to weather even a serious economic downturn.

Freddie Mac Multifamily counts itself among those market participants and stands ready to continue deploying capital consistently and responsibly. We’ll do this, as always, in a way that is mission-centric. That’s more important than ever, given the essential role we play in helping address the housing affordability crisis.

The current economic moment is accelerating the need for action. Freddie Mac recently fielded a survey that shows 58% of renters have seen their rent increase in the past 12 months. Although salaries are on the rise, a third of renters say their rent increase was greater than any raise they received at work. More concerning is that nearly 20% say that their rent increase makes them extremely likely to miss a rent payment.

To address the affordability crisis, we are driving toward a record year for our Targeted Affordable Housing business, and we’re poised to meet our aggressive affordability goals. This year, at least 50% of our production volume must support units that are affordable to families earning 80% of area median income (AMI) and 25% must support units affordable at 60% AMI. We said at the beginning of the year that this would be a tough challenge, but that we are up for the task. We’ve prioritized our mission-driven business.

Separately, we recently announced a landmark Equitable Housing Finance Plan that proposes several new initiatives aimed at enhancing borrower diversity, advancing tenant interests, and broadly addressing affordability through both preservation of and support for new supply. Building on past efforts, we’ve also expanded our Duty to Serve commitments to address housing needs in underserved markets, including rural communities and manufactured housing communities.

We know there is tremendous work to be done to ensure that more Americans can find safe and affordable rental housing, and as the new head of Freddie Mac Multifamily, it’s my highest priority. As the market dynamic shifts, we will continue to ensure a stable foundation for the multifamily industry while seeking out new innovations that can make homes possible for more of the nation’s 44 million renting households.

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Source: An Inflection Point for Multifamily Lending – Freddie Mac

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/an-inflection-point-for-multifamily-lending-freddie-mac/

LIVING COST SENSITIVITY AND SLOWER HOUSEHOLD CREATION MODIFY DEMAND FLOWS

 

The sequence of rate hikes decay housing affordability. In late July, the Federal Reserve again lifted the overnight rate by 75 basis points to a target range of 2.25 to 2.50 percent. This will likely apply additional upward pressure to mortgage rates, with the 30-year fixed rate already climbing more than 200 basis points this year to 5.3 percent at the end of July. Higher borrowing costs amid towering home prices make ownership difficult for a growing share of the population. As of June, the estimated affordability gap, or the difference between a monthly payment on a median-priced home and a rent obligation, in the U.S. surpassed $1,000. That margin was about half as large just 12 months earlier, demonstrating how the relative affordability of apartments is improving, despite robust rent growth. For some markets, however, higher home and rent costs amid inflation is slowing demand.

Demand cools in some pandemic-era darlings. Both the number of homes sold and apartment units absorbed fell in the second quarter, a signal that household formation may be moderating. This contraction occurred during the same three-month span in which more than 1.1 million jobs were added, a process that typically supplies residents with incomes and the stability to form households. More renters are likely opting for roommates or moving back in with family. These trends are most evident in the secondary and tertiary metros in the Sun Belt that led the nation in net absorption during 2021. After such a heated pace, this cooling of demand is giving supply a chance to catch up.

Resident bases are reshuffling. Among the 30 U.S. metros that topped the nation in net apartment absorption during the second quarter, about half had an average effective rent at least 25 percent below the national mean. Places such as Huntsville — situated within 200 miles of Nashville and Atlanta — recorded their highest quarterly absorption on record. Lower-income residents priced out of larger metros in the region, and migrating households seeking less costly living options with proximity to bigger cities may be moving in. Relatively affordable Midwest metros like Madison, Omaha, and Des Moines also had a strong second quarter.

Developing Trends

Household creation may be hindered in the second half. Coming off a record year in 2021 when more than 1.3 million new U.S. households were formed, a near-term slowdown is materializing. Approximately 85,000 fewer households were created during the first half of 2022 compared to the same six months of last year. The housing shortage contributed to this, as a lack of available homes and rentals kept some young adults living at home or in roommate situations. Rental vacancy and single-family home listings remain very low, enforcing a persistent constraint on household formation. In the coming months, economic headwinds and growing affordability challenges could inhibit young adults’ ability to find jobs and willingness to move out on their own.

The streak of monthly home price rises ends. The median sale price of an existing home fell 1 percent month-over-month in June, the first reduction since mid-2020. Sellers are adapting to the new environment, with purchase activity down almost 13 percent year-over-year. Even with the abatement, the median cost held above $400,000 in June, up 39 percent since the onset of the pandemic.

16.9%	38.0%
Year-Over-Year Change in Average Effective Apartment Rent	Year-Over-Year Change in Average Monthly Mortgage Payment

* Through 2Q Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services; Capital Economics; Freddie Mac; Moody’s Analytics; Mortgage Bankers Association; National Association of Home Builders; National Association of Realtors; RealPage, Inc.; Redfin; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau; Wells Fargo

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Source: LIVING COST SENSITIVITY AND SLOWER HOUSEHOLD CREATION MODIFY DEMAND FLOWS

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/living-cost-sensitivity-and-slower-household-creation-modify-demand-flows/

Chicago Multifamily Market Report

2Q 2022

Demand Returns to Central Neighborhoods; Suburban Apartment Market Maintains Strength

Absorption in urban locales accelerates. Due to space constraints in the urban core, new supply has been and will continue to be limited in the core this year. This has produced historically tight conditions in many central neighborhoods, as construction in the core has been unable to match renter demand. Preliminary data shows a 440-basis-point annual drop in vacancy within Chicago proper at the end of March. Competition for units here is likely to result in sharp rent climbs this year, especially in locales like Lincoln Park, Ukrainian Village, and Andersonville. Also, the return to in-person work downtown supported near nation-leading annual vacancy contraction in The Loop and West Loop areas entering the second quarter. This tightness may spur more development in central locales in future years.

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Source: Chicago Multifamily Market Report

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/chicago-multifamily-market-report/

Kankakee

For Sale - 23 Unit Multifamily Offering Fully Occupied Upside in Rents In Opportunity Zone 7.35% Cap Rate (Current) 9.60% Cap Rate (Pro forma) $995,000 Listing Broker: Randolph Taylor rtaylor@creconsult.net | 630.474.6441 https://www.creconsult.net/listings-2/for-sale-fully-occupied-23-unit-multifamily-property-kankakee-il-9-6-proforma-cap-rate/

The changing face of multifamily development in Chicagoland

 

Developers in Chicagoland are responding to continued strong demand for multifamily housing and changing consumer expectations. The pandemic accelerated a trend that was already underway — a shift in consumer priorities from acquiring material things to embracing time, travel, and experiences. Long-term homeowners are taking advantage of a seller’s market for their homes, collecting the proceeds and moving into apartments that require little to no maintenance. Meanwhile, young people who can’t yet afford to purchase a home are renting apartments that provide abundant amenities. These changing dynamics are reflected in recent multifamily sector research.

According to CBRE’s Q1 2022 Apartment Fundamentals report, multifamily occupancy was at about 97% in Chicago. Between Q1 2021 and Q2 2022, vacancies dropped to 3.1% from 6.2%. The report goes further, saying “Total net absorption is forecasted to be a positive 9,027 units, lagging supply during the same period. By year-end 2023, the annualized vacancy rate is expected to be 2.8 percent, while rents are forecasted to grow, reaching $1,989.40 compared to current market rents of $1,760.67.”

For commercial real estate developers and investors, favorable forecasts like these are encouraging. While opportunities are plentiful, developers that understand what is trending from both a development perspective and a design and construction perspective stand to be more successful. Technology is Evolving The vast majority of renters want top-quality amenities, simplicity, and convenience. In addition to clubrooms, pools, fitness centers, and outdoor lounges, a growing number of renters expect “smart apartment” technology. Integrating advanced technology into multifamily projects has become a competitive advantage for developers.

Smart apartment systems offer residents fully-connected smart-home experiences controlled by an app on their smartphones. The first systems were introduced in the student housing sector, as college-age students are adept at using apps to control devices and their environment. Now the amenity is gaining traction with residents of market-rate apartments as well.

With smart apartment-managed Wi-Fi systems, residents download an app when they move in, receive a password, and within 10 minutes they can control locking and unlocking doors, the temperature of their apartment, appliances, outlets, and more – from anywhere inside or outside the building. So, instead of each apartment unit having its own network, there is one network throughout the entire building. There’s also a security component that benefits both residents and property managers. For accessing the building and unlocking certain doors, residents swipe their phones to gain access. Property managers can credential residents’ smartphones to access only certain areas of the building. For example, residents must be credentialed to access floors other than where their unit is located. This provides peace of mind to residents and reduces the risk for property managers. Residents can also authorize people outside the building to enter at certain times. For instance, the dog walker who comes every day between 10 a.m. and 11 a.m. can be credentialed to access the resident’s unit only during that timeframe. Everything is tracked, providing visibility to both the resident and the property manager.

These systems bring a whole new level of convenience and security but getting them set up can be a challenge for developers. Smart apartment platform providers or “integrators” that create the apps face a challenge coordinating the myriad of Wi-Fi programs and technologies used by manufacturers of appliances, outlets, and the like. Very few systems talk to each other, so integrators basically ride over the top of them and create one app to control everything.

At Opus, we are working with an integrator to create a smart apartment system for our Dash Downers Grove project, a seven-story, 167-unit multifamily building under construction in the Village of Downers Grove. These systems and capabilities are evolving very quickly, so integrators must be nimble.

As an industry, we are on the front end of this trend. For projects like Dash Downers Grove, the conveniences of smart-home systems for both residents and property managers will differentiate the property.

Certain Design Amenities are Gaining Traction The pandemic didn’t start the work-from-home trend, but it clearly accelerated it. Because a significant number of renters now work from home, multifamily designs are evolving. Many unit floorplans now have dedicated, semi-private spaces for desks and office equipment. In common areas, work-from-home suites are gaining popularity, providing residents with private space for conducting business. Also popular with residents is flexible seating space within common areas for bringing their laptops and working.

Also likely influenced by the pandemic, resident preference surveys are showing increased demand for private outdoor spaces within each unit, like balconies and terraces. Entertainment amenities like rooftop decks, clubrooms, and outdoor kitchens also remain popular, as well as recreational amenities like fitness centers, pools, and space for bike storage and repair.

ESG Requirements are Accelerating Another trend affecting multifamily developers is increasing ESG (environmental, social, and governance) requirements by capital partners. With regard to environmental concerns, it’s becoming more common that they want to see third-party certification of buildings. Investors, especially European investors, are increasingly focused on what capital partners are doing with regard to ESG. And it’s not green-washing – they want to see real results.

Chicago is an environmentally-forward community. The city has required sustainable features for many years, like a green roof if zoning as PUD (planned unit development). But stricter regulatory requirements in Europe will likely make their way to the U.S. The Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TFCD) in the U.K., which is a new international standard for reporting on climate risks, will be mandatory for all fund managers in 2025. Three additional governments are considering adopting the policy: the European Union, New Zealand, and Canada. The Opus Dash Downers Grove project will seek both Fitwel certification and National Green Building Standard (NGBS) certification. Fitwel focuses on quality of life and location – for example, does the project reuse an existing site, does it optimize health within the building and community, and is it close to transit, parking, fresh air, and parks. NGBS is more technical and focused on the building, for example, does it exceed building code, and how efficient is the HVAC system, insulation, windows, and blinds? The increased cost for a building to achieve these certifications can vary, depending on design and construction. At Opus, we already consider environmental impacts as part of our design and construction process, and we are increasingly integrating these standards in our multifamily projects. Trends like smart apartment technology, design amenities, and ESG will continue to evolve. Resident awareness of smart apartments is increasing at a rapid rate, as consumers expect to manage their life via their smartphones. And while the financial sector is currently a driving force with ESG requirements, resident awareness will likely increase with time and become a differentiator for apartment properties.

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Source: The changing face of multifamily development in Chicagoland

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/the-changing-face-of-multifamily-development-in-chicagoland/

July’s Multifamily Rent Increase Was Best in a Decade – Except for Last Year

 

RealPage cites a strong month, with pace moderating as expected.

Peak apartment rent growth – as well as the historically high-performance levels seen in 2021 – are by all accounts in the rearview mirror, according to data released this week by RealPage.

Effective asking rents increased by 0.8% from June to July, which represents about one-third of how they performed a year earlier. That moderation was as expected, RealPage said.

 

The spike in 2022 is nothing to sneeze at, though. It makes it the best performing July in the past decade, which shows just how impressive 2021 was for apartment operators, the company said.

Renewing Renters Paid 11% More in July

 

July 2022’s number “is a good encapsulation of the state of the apartment market: 2022 has been strong by comparison to any year other than 2021,” Jay Parsons of RealPage, said in a prepared statement.

“As we noted multiple times going into 2022, the historic numbers seen in 2021 are unlikely to be repeated for a long time to come. Year-over-year effective asking rent growth measured 12.2% in July, down from 13.8% in June.”

Replacement rents (actual, signed lease-over-lease trade-out for new leases) increased 17.2% in July, compared to 18.6% in June, RealPage reported.

 

Resident renewal rent rate increases of 11% in July were similar to what was achieved in June.

Renters in the lower-priced Class C apartment sector paid just 7.8% more than those in Class A and Class B apartments, which saw roughly a 12% increase.

Rising renter incomes continue to help support rising rents and keep rent-to-income ratios steady at around 23%. Household income on average rose 8% year-over-year.

 

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Source: July’s Multifamily Rent Increase Was Best in a Decade – Except for Last Year

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/julys-multifamily-rent-increase-was-best-in-a-decade-except-for-last-year/

What the Recent Inflation Numbers Might Mean for Multifamily

 

While inflation seems to be moderating, don’t expect the Fed to let up.

Inflation numbers for July were a pleasant change from the recent pace, with prices flat from June. But as the National Apartment Association noted in its NAA Inflation Tracker: August 2022, things are more complex and the chances of the Fed stopping the upward march of interest rates is unlikely to happen immediately.

First the good news: the results were the best since May 2020. There are also other signs that inflation may be near contraction, including the Producer Price Index. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the PPI fell by 0.5% in July, seasonally adjusted.

 

But here’s where things get complicated. “The index for final demand goods fell 1.8 percent in July, the largest decline since moving down 2.7 percent in April 2020,” said the BLS. “The July decrease can be traced to a 9.0-percent drop in prices for final demand energy. Conversely, the indexes for final demand foods and for final demand goods fewer foods and energy rose 1.0 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively.”

The line from producer prices to consumer isn’t necessarily straightforward, but as the NAA noted, “The breather in price hikes was due to energy prices, which fell 4.6% over the month. Food prices continued to climb, however, notching another increase in excess of 1.0%. Core CPI rose 0.3% over the month, slower than the prior 3 months, but disturbingly high for prices that are considered to be more “sticky.” The largest increases in core CPI were car insurance (1.3%), car maintenance and repair (1.1%), and rent (0.7%).

 

So, a drop in energy prices masked an increase elsewhere, which means that in one part of life, consumers will feel a benefit, but not in most.

Total shelter costs compose about a third of CPI. “Owners’ equivalent rent, which is the price owner-occupiers think they could attain if they rented their homes, increased 5.8% while rent of primary residence was up 6.3% year-over-year, another 36-year high,” the NAA said. And those numbers lag actual changes in house costs because the data isn’t collected as often as other parts of CPI. Rents may not yet have hit a peak.

That will push people to look for greater pay to keep up with the cost of living, adding to tensions over employment. The last two months have seen big jumps in hiring, which is a big indicator to the Federal Reserve that the economy hasn’t slowed down enough. It seems unlikely that the Fed will back off from additional interest rate increases, which means higher construction and repair costs in the multifamily industry.

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Source: What the Recent Inflation Numbers Might Mean for Multifamily

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/what-the-recent-inflation-numbers-might-mean-for-multifamily/

Sacrificing space: Why are U.S. renters downsizing?

 

In today’s housing market, future homeowners must compromise to save for a down payment. One way to put aside money for a first home? Give up a little space.

In fact, RentCafe found that renters who dream of transitioning to homeownership could save an average of $3,735 per year by simply downsizing by just one bedroom — a sacrifice many renters are jumping on. Nearly 4,000 RentCafe website visitors revealed that 36% of renters were willing to use this method in order to afford their first home.

So where in the nation can renters save up the fastest for a down payment by surrendering one bedroom in their current rental? Well, Chicago secured the No. 4 spot on the Top 50 list, despite having some of the smallest apartments nationwide.

Not only is Chicago the third-largest city in the U.S., it’s also a hot spot for young people. Renters here could save $8,916 per year if able to adjust to one less bedroom, meaning they’d be able to afford a down payment for a starter home in just over two years. The median price of homes is much higher than the preceding three locations on RentCafe’s list, but the higher income earned by Chicagoans makes saving for a down payment almost as achievable as it is in Jackson, MS. Can you guess which city landed at No. 1 on RentCafe’s list? Hint: It’s also in the Midwest. Yep. Renters in Dayton, Ohio are the closest to ownership. The median price of starter homes, $57,652, combined with the yearly savings derived from downsizing a rental, $3,168, would make it possible for a renter to afford a down payment in a little over a year and a half, based on the report. And contrary to Chicago, Dayton is also one of the places with the most apartment space per person, which makes downsizing less of a challenge. Other Midwest locations to make the Top 20 on RentCafe’s list include Lansing, Michigan; Cleveland, Ohio; and Columbia, Missouri.

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Source: Sacrificing space: Why are U.S. renters downsizing?

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/sacrificing-space-why-are-u-s-renters-downsizing/

Rent Growth Diverging Across Office and Multifamily

 

Analysts call the aberration a “great divergence.”

Rent growth across the office and multifamily sectors are no longer in lockstep, disrupting a lengthy period in which the sectors typically followed the same trend, according to a new analysis from Moody’s Analytics.

Last year marked the only time that rents for office and multifamily actually went in opposite directions, analysts say, calling the aberration a “great divergence.”

 

“Companies haven’t fully reopened offices, but households come back to cities anyway,” they say. “Further, in a rebuff of the historic link – it wasn’t just suburban apartment markets feeling the positive demand shock, dense urban areas bounced back, with many having apartment rent levels that have now fully rebounded.”

Office market performance in cities like New York, Tampa, Orange County, Charleston, and Greenville also trended below the US average, with asking rents ticking up 0.8% from 2021 to 2022, but multifamily rents in the same markets “skyrocketed.”  And in Minneapolis, St. Louis, and Columbus, all of which experienced office markets that were above average last year, the apartment market is performing far below the national average.

 

“If people choose where to live based on their office locations, this divergence should not be as evident,” the analysts say. Lifestyle must play a very critical role in this divergence, though the single-family market, zoning regulation, industry types, and other factors affect it as well.”

San Francisco, Jersey City, Manhattan, Philadelphia, and Boston saw the sharpest spikes in lease applications from Gen Z renters in the past year, with increases of up to 101%, according to a recent RentCafe survey. Zoomers also account for more than one-quarter of active renters in the past year in San Diego, Los Angeles, Manhattan, and Philadelphia.

But Moody’s also said it would be “premature” to say that remote work has no negative impact on urban apartment markets.

 

“It is likely that as households age into child rearing, the typical pull of suburban/exurban life could become stronger in an era of hybrid and fully remote office work,” they say. “But it is also true that a particular lifestyle only exists in dense urban areas.”

Ultimately, whether this shift is temporary or permanent remains to be seen: If the prevailing trend of modern life had been households following work, we may now be entering an era where work is following households,” the analysis states.

“At a minimum, the link between office and multifamily performance has dramatically weakened over the past year,” they write. “The US economy is based heavily in the production of knowledge, and the main resource in the process is skilled labor.  If firms still believe there is value in the office, even in a hybrid capacity, they will look to locate within striking distance of those workers.  The link may not be permanently broken after all, but instead, economic strength may be diversifying and shifting towards where people want to be. Time will tell how this dynamic between office and apartment property types plays out.”

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Source: Rent Growth Diverging Across Office and Multifamily

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/rent-growth-diverging-across-office-and-multifamily/