Friday, June 30, 2023

Chicago's Multifamily Sector Boasts Healthy Occupancy Rates, Strong Rent Growth

Chicago’s multifamily sector currently enjoys strong market fundamentals highlighted by healthy occupancy rates and continued rental rate growth. The current core apartment rents average over $4 per square foot, which is higher than previous peak pricing.

After the pandemic, rental rates between late 2021 to 2022 recorded 10 to 15 percent growth, which is substantially ahead of the historical norms. Currently, the Chicago rental market is experiencing more stable rent growth in the 3 to 4 percent range.

Chicago remains one of the most affordable major markets to rent an apartment when looking at the current average effective rents as a percentage of median household income. This affordability will allow owners to continue to push rental rates in the future.

One of the major factors leading to strong operating fundamentals in the Chicago market is the lack of new supply. The supply in Chicago is currently 1 percent of the inventory, which is quite low in comparison to other markets where there could be as much as 10 to 12 percent of the inventory under construction.

In the city, there are just over 7,000 units under construction slated for delivery between 2023 and 2024. The majority of new development is located in two submarkets, which are Fulton Market and Gold Coast/Near North. In the suburbs, there are nearly 6,000 units slated for delivery through 2024. Suburban deliveries have remained consistent in recent years as investors continue to believe in the fundamentals outside of the urban core.

Spring and summer are typically the strongest leasing seasons in the Windy City and with a very limited supply of new construction in the pipeline, the market is well-positioned for continued strong rent rate growth as well as high absorption.

Investment sales activity in 2022 was $3.2 billion, with the majority occurring during the first half of the year, before the Federal Reserve’s rate increases really took hold and caused a lack of stability in the capital markets.

Among the key transactions to take place last year include the sale of The Elle, formerly known as Alta Roosevelt, in the South Loop to Waterton Associates. The property sold for $170 million, which is approximately $343 per unit or $341 per square foot. The transaction closed in November 2022 and was the largest transaction to take place in the downtown market.

In the suburbs, Ellyn Crossing in Glendale Heights sold to Turner Impact Capital. This 1,155-unit residence sold for $137 million, which is $118,615 per unit and $193 per square foot, and was among the largest transactions to occur in the suburbs last year.

In terms of investment activity, many of the large institutions remain on the sidelines thereby creating a great opportunity for the private capital to acquire assets in the Chicago market. In fact, downtown acquisitions by private investors have continued to increase year-over-year demonstrating their desire to transact with yield premiums and significant discount to replacement cost.

Looking forward

There is plenty of liquidity in the financing markets for multifamily. Agencies continue to provide liquidity during this choppiness in the capital markets, committing $150 billion in dry powder for 2023 volumes. Buyers today are actively seeking neutral leverage and will not settle for negative leverage. Therefore, they are very focused on their going-in cap rate.

Based on what is currently on the market, 2023 is on par with or well-positioned to exceed the activity recorded in 2022. Buyers and sellers are both capitulating, and as both move toward a middle ground, we expect the second half of the year to have even more transactions.

Today is a great time to be an investor and an operator in the Chicago market as the fundamentals have never been better, and pricing is at an above-average yield today with a significant discount to replacement costs.

 

Source: Chicago’s Multifamily Sector Boasts Healthy Occupancy Rates, Strong Rent Growth

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/chicagos-multifamily-sector-boasts-healthy-occupancy-rates-strong-rent-growth/

1120 E Ogden

Retail / Office Space For Lease | 3,674 SF | $20/SF NNN
1120 E Ogden Ave, Suite 101 | Naperville, IL 60563
Broker: Randolph Taylor rtaylor@creconsult.net | 630.474.6441

https://www.creconsult.net/retail-office-for-lease-1120-e-ogden-ave-suite-101-naperville-il-60563/?wpo_all_pages_cache_purged=1

Thursday, June 29, 2023

Selling an Apartment Building FAQ's

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Top Frequently Asked Questions on Selling a Multi-family in Chicago

Are you thinking of selling your multi-family property?

Here are some of the most frequently asked questions we get from clients looking to sell multifamily properties in Chicago.

Before You Sell:

How is selling a multi-family different than selling a single-family home?

If you’ve sold an investment property before, you’ll be familiar with the ins and outs of selling a multi-family. However, if it’s your first time, you’ll learn that the process works differently than it would with a single-family or condo.

A large part of a multi-family’s sale appeal will lie in its cash flow. Buyers looking for a multi-family are looking for more than just a home: they will want to see a property that generates good rental income, rents easily, and provides a financial incentive for them to buy. This could be in the form of easy upgrades they can make to boost rental income or as an empty unit for them to occupy and offset their own living expenses.

Do I need a broker to sell a multi-family?

Of course, we’re biased...but we do recommend working with a broker who is experienced in the multi-family market in your neighborhood. Not only will they be able to pull good comps and provide a market analysis of how you should price the property, but an experienced agent will know how to show the proeprty to different types of buyers, whether they are experienced investors or first-time multi-family buyers who want some supplemental income. Brokers who work in multi-family markets are also in the know about rent prices and trends, which will help them sell your home at the right price.

Do I need to make repairs before selling?

Some buyers look for multi-families with units that could benefit from some updating because they see it as an opportunity to raise the rent using some sweat equity. Your agent should be knowledgeable of the renter’s and buyer’s market for your area and property type and will have good recommendations of what types of updates to make before selling.

Making simple upgrades around the property and in common areas like hallways and entryways can be an easy way to boost the property’s curb appeal that won’t break the bank, whether it’s through new fixtures or a fresh coat of paint.

How do I list a multi-family?

One of the most important parts of getting ready to list your property is confirming the number of legal units in the building. In a city full of old homes like Chicago, many apartment units have been created in old basement spaces or have been de-converted into larger single unit. If you sell your property with an incorrect number of legally recognized units, you could face legal issues down the road. To get the most accurate picture of how your property should be valued and listed, get in touch with the local village to confirm the number of legal units listed in their records.

How should I price my multi-family?

Buyers and their lenders will typically appraise a multi-family home using the income approach method instead of simply using comps in the area to compare values. This means that the appraiser will look at the cost of property maintenance and rental income to evaluate a property’s cash flow. To price your multi-family, you should do appraise a building’s income and use comps in the area to accurately represent what someone might want to pay for it.

How should I market my multi-family?

  • You’ll want professional photos of each unit to get ready to list your property, which means asking your tenants to clean their spaces and set up a time for the photographer. Having an empty unit comes in handy because it gives you the opportunity to deep clean the space and potentially even stage it with furniture to show off its potential.
  • Put together a financial breakdown and lease abstract to show possible buyers. This might include details like current rents, cost of utilities, and other maintenance fees to give them a better idea of potential rental income.

Selling a building with tenants.

How do I sell my multi-family with occupied units?

One of the trickiest parts of selling a multi-family is to make sure that you are aware of your tenants’ legal rights and that you make the selling process as effortless for them as possible.

  • Breaking the news to tenants: Announcing that you’re listing your property for sale isn’t the easiest conversation to have with tenants. For them, it means the hassle of cleaning their apartments for multiple showings, a change in landlords, and a potential increase in their rent after the sale. However, you are legally obligated to inform your tenants when you sell the property, so it’s important to have that conversation before getting too far into the selling process.
  • Tenant’s rights when a property is listed for sale: To protect yourself from liability and provide a smooth transition for your tenants during the sale process, it’s important to be aware of their rights determined both by the state and by their lease agreement. Your tenants most likely have a right to be notified a set amount of time before showings and have a lease that can’t be terminated just because you want a vacant unit to sell the property. Reread your lease agreements and the tenant’s rights for your city before listing your home or schedule showings.

How do I show a property with occupied units?

An experienced Broker will know the ins and outs of how to show a property with occupied units (which is one of the biggest reasons why you should take your time to find a good agent). The most important concern when it comes to showing units is to make sure that the tenant is aware of the appointment sufficiently ahead of time. Check your lease agreement to see if there are already guidelines in place, or contact your tenant prior to listing the process to come to an agreed-upon amount of days or hours before the showing when they should be contacted.

Have you thought of selling your property and would like to know what it's worth? Request a valuation for your property below:

Request Valuation

 

Source: Selling an Apartment Building FAQ’s

[/ux_text] https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/selling-an-apartment-building-faqs/

Midwest spotlight: A look at multifamily performance

The multifamily market saw record-breaking rent growth that was backed by high demand in 2022, but that is no longer the case for several regions in 2023. While the volatility in the current market has taken its toll on the sector’s high-paced expansion, not every region in the U.S. is experiencing setbacks. In fact, the Midwest has recently emerged as a thriving area for multifamily investment.

The Midwest offers several advantages compared to other U.S. regions, including its diverse economy, growing population, and stable housing market. All of which makes the region an excellent place for investors looking to expand their portfolios.

Why Invest in the Midwest?

The level of transaction activity in the multifamily market can be influenced by factors such as population growth, government regulations, property taxes, income levels, supply trends, real estate regulations, and more. In the past, larger metros like Chicago and Minneapolis attracted more capital to the Midwest because they offered high levels of the listed market drivers. However, recently, secondary markets have become popular as well, indicating that there is a strong demand for multifamily properties that are well-located.

The region has experienced steady economic growth and low unemployment rates, which provide a stable market for commercial real estate services. The cost of living and doing business is lower in the Midwest than in other parts of the country, leading to lower property prices and higher rental yields.

Additionally, developers are finding it easier to acquire land in the Midwest’s secondary markets and receive the necessary permits to build in a timely manner due to lower barriers to entry compared to other regions.

The region’s transportation infrastructure, including highways, airports, and railways, makes the Midwest a strategic location for businesses and residents. Finally, the region’s diverse economy, with a mix of manufacturing, agriculture, and healthcare industries, ensures a stable demand for commercial real estate.

The Midwest’s growing population, with approximately 68 million residents, creates strong rental housing demand. The median household income for the Midwest was $66,143, according to the 2021 Census Report. The demand for rentals is further boosted by the fact that many people prefer renting to owning due to financial or lifestyle reasons. In fact, homeownership has declined nationwide, with 36 percent of American households now renting instead of owning.

The Midwest generally has more tax-friendly regulations for investors, making the region more attractive. South Dakota is income tax-free, while other Midwest states boast some of the lowest state income tax rates, such as Indiana at 3.16 percent and Michigan at 4.25 percent. Capital gains taxes are also lower in the Midwest compared to coastal markets. North Dakota, with a capital gains rate of 2.90 percent compared to California’s 13.30 percent, is one Midwest state worth highlighting.

Key Midwest Players

Multifamily real estate has been booming in the Midwest in recent years, with several states experiencing strong growth in the rental property market. Chicago has been the epicenter of multifamily investment in Illinois and is currently one of the leading markets for new deliveries. Smaller cities such as Rockford and Aurora have begun providing more affordable rental options. Ohio has seen investment in the cities of Cleveland and Columbus, focusing on redeveloping historic buildings. Columbus, in particular, experienced substantial growth with an expanding downtown to attract young professionals to the area.

In Minnesota, the Twin Cities of Minneapolis and St. Paul have been a hotbed of multifamily investment, with a high demand for rental properties and substantial capital investment. Meanwhile, in Missouri, St. Louis has experienced significant investment in the downtown area and surrounding neighborhoods due to the revitalization brought by the growing tech industry and talent pool. On the other hand, Kansas City has been focusing on suburban construction.

Overall, the Midwest has experienced substantial growth in the multifamily real estate market, driven by a growing population, a robust economy, and a focus on urban revitalization. With a mix of large and small cities experiencing significant development, the region offers a range of opportunities for investors and renters alike.

Illinois – Chicago, Rockford, and Peoria

From Q1 2022 to Q1 2023, around 5,600 units were absorbed in Chicago, which exceeds the average annual net absorption of 4,100 units for the market. Strong demand has led to a decrease in vacancies, further contributing to rent growth in the market. Year-over-year rent gains posted a 4.1 percent increase. The area experienced $5 billion in annual sales volume with an average cap rate of 5.7 percent from Q1 2022 to Q1 2023. Chicago’s two largest submarkets, Downtown and North Lakefront, experienced a high percentage of sales from Q1 2022 to Q1 2023.

In Q1 2023, apartment rents in the Rockford market increased by an annual rate of 5.3 percent. There are 33 units under construction in Rockford, the largest under-construction pipeline in over three years. As of Q1 2023, vacancies in the metro area were slightly below the 10-year average but have remained relatively stable from Q1 2022 to Q4 2022; currently, the vacancy rate is 3.5 percent.

Apartment rents in the Peoria market increased by an annual rate of 9.2 percent in Q1 2023. The current market cap rate decreased since last year to seven percent. This is the lowest rate observed in Peoria in the previous five years, although the city’s cap rate is typically higher than in other regions. The area has had an annual sales volume of $118 million within the last 12 months. Within the past three years, 390 units have been delivered, a cumulative inventory expansion of 3.4 percent, and 160 units are currently under construction.

Ohio – Cleveland and Columbus

The Cleveland market experienced its most active year for deliveries since 2015, adding over 2,000 units in 2022. From Q1 2022 to Q1 2023, total multifamily sales in Cleveland amounted to $159 million, approximately 16 percent higher than the annual average, with a market cap rate of 7.5 percent. The average monthly asking rent in Cleveland is $1,100 per unit, making it a cost-effective market for renters.

From Q1 2022 to Q1 2023, multifamily sales in Columbus amounted to $2.0 billion, which is almost twice the prior three-year average. The majority of development and delivery activity within the submarket occurs in neighborhoods that are adjacent to downtown Columbus and surrounding Ohio State University, playing a significant role in contributing to the submarket’s strong overall performance. In the second half of 2022, quarterly volume reached record levels, with more than $650 million worth of transactions occurring in the third and fourth quarters combined. The market’s affordability and potential for higher yields likely contribute to the substantial sales volume in recent months. ¬¬¬

Minnesota – Minneapolis, Rochester, St. Cloud

Minneapolis achieved an all-time high in annual net deliveries for the fifth consecutive year, with 11,000 units added in 2022. This number is approximately 15 percent higher than the previous record set in 2021. In 2022, the annual sales volume in Minneapolis reached the second-highest level on record, totaling $2.1 billion. Minneapolis’ multifamily investment market has remained strong and durable, thanks to investments made by all types of buyers, including private and institutional capital. These investors are focusing on areas with lower volatility and higher yields that are less vulnerable to the potential impact of rising interest rates and a potential recession in 2023.

In Q1 2023, apartment rental rates in the Rochester market increased at an annual rate of 2.4 percent, and over the past three years, they have increased by an average annual rate of 3.6 percent. There are 940 units under construction, the highest under-construction pipeline in more than three years.

The St. Cloud rental market saw a 3.3 percent rise in apartment rents in Q1 2023, with an average yearly increase of 3.8 percent in the past three years. Home to a state university, the area experienced a 12 month sales volume of $92 million and a market cap rate of 6.7 percent. Additionally, there are currently 210 units being constructed in addition to the 670 units completed in the past three years.

Missouri – St. Louis, Kansas City, Springfield

Over the past year, the St. Louis area has delivered 3,700 units, significantly higher than the annual average of 2,300 units over the past five years. The price per unit is $140,000, representing a 48 percent rise in the past five years. The region’s multifamily market is still considered affordable, with rental rates 30 percent lower than the national average, at $1,140 per month.

The number of units in the Kansas City construction pipeline is 7,900, which accounts for 4.6 percent of the total inventory, one of the highest levels in the Midwest. The 12-month total sales volume is $1.1 billion, with more than half contributed by the sale of Class A properties.

Springfield’s population has increased by 19,000 individuals in the last five years, representing a four percent growth rate. During this time, the number of households in Springfield has grown by 9.7 percent. The yearly sales volume has averaged $49.0 million in the past five years, with a peak investment volume of $160 million during that period. From Q1 2022 to Q1 2023, $1.9 million of multifamily assets have been sold.

Takeaways

Overall, investing in multifamily properties in the Midwest can be a good option for those looking for a stable, income-producing investment with the potential for long-term growth. Many units are currently underway throughout the region, posing additional opportunities for years to come. As more investors move to this area to take advantage of the low cost of living, high demand, and steady economic growth, the region is set to thrive. Multifamily remains resilient despite economic volatility, and Midwest markets are excellent examples of adaptability in times of high-interest rates and slowing rent growth.

 

Source: Midwest spotlight: A look at multifamily performance

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/midwest-spotlight-a-look-at-multifamily-performance/

Wednesday, June 28, 2023

The Complete Guide to Determining Tax Basis on Commercial Real Estate

Are you thinking of selling a commercial income property? If so, it is important to calculate the correct tax basis to avoid higher capital gains tax when the property is sold. It is also necessary to determine the tax basis before you sell since the tax basis plays a role in determining depreciation.

In this blog, we’ll discuss the ins-and-outs of tax basis, also known as cost basis, then move on to how to calculate it, and finally, what it might mean to your bottom line.

What is Tax Basis?

Tax basis is the cost of the property paid in cash plus debt obligations or other property. It is determined by adding settlement and closing costs to the purchase price of the property.

According to the IRS, the following costs can be included when calculating tax basis:

  • Abstract fees (abstract of title fees)
  • Charges for installing utility services
  • Legal fees (including title search and preparation of the sales contract and deed)
  • Recording Fees
  • Surveys
  • Transfer taxes
  • Owner’s title insurance
  • Any amount the seller owes that you agree to pay, such as back taxes or interest, recording or mortgage fees, charges for improvements or repairs, and sales commissions.

On the contrary, the following costs cannot be included when calculating tax basis:

  • Casualty insurance premiums
  • Rent for occupancy of the property before closing
  • Charges for utilities or other services related to occupancy of the property before closing
  • Charges connected with getting a loan. The following are examples of these charges:
  1. Points (discount points, loan origination fees)
  2. Mortgage insurance premiums
  3. Loan assumption fees
  4. Cost of a credit report
  5. Fees for an appraisal required by a lender
  6. Fees for refinancing a mortgage.
  7.  

The basis of your investment property can either go up or down, depending on various factors. Thus capital improvements increase the basis, while depreciation decreases the cost basis.

Without proper tax basis planning, you will end up paying double taxes …

Once for the adjusted basis minus the depreciation claimed while you owned the property, and a second time for the 25% depreciation recapture tax, which is the difference between the property’s depreciated value and its adjusted basis.

Depreciation in Relation to Tax Basis

The IRS allows CRE investors to deduct depreciation from a commercial real estate building, as well as any capital improvements made, but it does not include land as a depreciable asset. While there are benefits to depreciation deductions while you own an investment property, these deductions will result in a higher capital gains tax when the property is sold.

For example, if the value of the sold property is higher than its depreciated value, you will have to pay further depreciation recapture taxes (which is 25%, a bit higher than the usual capital gains tax which is 15–23.8%). In the case of a sale, you will have to be very mindful of planning the recapture taxes.

1031 Exchanges & Tax Basis

The benefit of the IRS’s 1031 exchange code is clear here, as it allows you to defer capital gains tax through a properly structured exchange. Capital gains taxes range from 15% – 23.8%, depending on your tax bracket.

When selling an investment property and buying another with a 1031 exchange, the basis of the old property is transferred to the new property. For example, if the original property was sold for $2,500,000 with an adjusted cost basis of $750,000, then $750,000 would be carried forward to the new property.

If the purchase price of the replacement property was $3,000,000, then your adjusted basis would now be the original cost basis ($750,000) plus the difference in price between the original property and the replacement property ($500,000).

The new tax basis is 1,250,000, and is referred to as “boot.”

Cost Basis Calculation

1. First, calculate all of the closing costs related to the purchase of the investment property. Then add that number to the original purchase price.

2. Next, deduct any lender fees, points, loan assumption fees, or mortgage insurance premiums from the above number, since the IRS does not allow them to be included as settlement costs when determining cost basis (see list above).

3. Then, calculate the amount spent on capital improvements. According to the IRS, capital improvements improve the value of the property. Examples include replacing a roof or HVAC system, adding on a wing or extending a portion of the property, or extensive interior renovations that allow you to add more tenants or increase space within a commercial property. They may also include:

    • Changing a property’s use to a different use
    • Rebuilding a property that has already “met its useful life”
    • Replacing a major part of the property
    • A repair that creates an increase in efficiency, productivity, or capacity
    • Fixing a defect or design flaw

4. Finally, deduct the amount of depreciation that was claimed on the income property.

This final amount is now your adjusted cost basis.

When it comes to owning an investment property, be sure to keep all documents that pertain to repairs, improvements, or replacements, and use these documents to calculate depreciation and cost basis on a yearly basis. However, since knowing which expenses count as capital repairs can be complex, it is best to consult your accountant or tax professional.

To Wrap It Up – Understanding Tax Basis Can Preserve Thousands of Dollars in Capital

It is very important to know and adjust the tax basis of your commercial real estate property. If it is lower when selling or foreclosing the property, you will consequently have to pay higher capital gains tax. Whether you plan to sell or not, be precise with your cost basis calculation and consult with your financial advisors. A proper calculation can provide the most wealth-preserving advantages.

 

Source: The Complete Guide to Determining Tax Basis on Commercial Real Estate

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/the-complete-guide-to-determining-tax-basis-on-commercial-real-estate/

Tuesday, June 27, 2023

What is an Estimated Net Proceeds Sheet and How is this Important to Estimate Capital Gains Tax Exposure

A seller's net proceeds sheet is a document that estimates the amount of money a seller will receive after all closing costs have been paid. The amount of the net proceeds will vary depending on the purchase price of the property, the seller's existing mortgage balance, the amount of real estate taxes due, and other closing costs.

The following factors affect the net proceeds of a sale:

  • Purchase price: The higher the purchase price, the higher the net proceeds.
  • Mortgage balance: The lower the mortgage balance, the higher the net proceeds.
  • Closing costs: Closing costs can vary depending on the state and the type of transaction.
  • Other expenses: Other expenses, such as real estate taxes and home warranty fees, can also reduce the net proceeds.

The net proceeds of a sale are important to capital gains tax exposure because they determine the amount of profit that is subject to tax. The seller's taxable gain is calculated by subtracting the adjusted basis of the property from the net proceeds. The adjusted basis is the original purchase price of the property plus the cost of any improvements that have been made.

For example, if a seller sells a property for $500,000 and has an adjusted basis of $300,000, then the seller's taxable gain is $200,000. The seller will owe capital gains tax on this amount.

The amount of capital gains tax that a seller owes will depend on the seller's income tax bracket and the length of time that the property was held. For example, a seller in the 22% income tax bracket who held the property for less than one year will owe a capital gains tax of 22% on the $200,000 gain.

Selling a property can be a profitable transaction, but it is important to understand the factors that affect the net proceeds and how this can impact your capital gains tax exposure. By understanding these factors, you can make informed decisions about when to sell your property and how to minimize your tax liability.

Here are some tips for sellers to minimize their capital gains tax exposure:

  • Hold the property for at least one year: If you hold the property for at least one year, you will be taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, which is typically lower than the short-term capital gains rate.
  • Make improvements to the property: Any improvements that you make to the property can increase the adjusted basis, which will reduce your taxable gain.
  • Donate the property to charity: If you donate the property to charity, you may be able to claim a charitable deduction, which can offset your taxable gain.

By following these tips, you can minimize your capital gains tax exposure and keep more of the money you earn from selling your property.

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/what-is-an-estimated-net-proceeds-sheet-and-how-is-this-important-to-estimate-capital-gains-tax-exposure/

Monday, June 26, 2023

The Problem Multifamily Can No Longer Ignore: Renters Insurance Compliance 

The risks and costs of ignoring renters insurance compliance are far too great to not have the attention of rental housing providers.

Many renters live without renters insurance – all operators know it happens. Whether a renter cancels a policy, lets it lapse or forgets to renew, renters insurance compliance has remained a major challenge for operators. Renters insurance is not only difficult and time-consuming to monitor, but it also has massive effects on property insurance expenses for operators. Renters insurance compliance is a problem that multifamily can no longer ignore – the risks and costs are far too great to let it continue slipping through the cracks.

There are numerous obstacles for operators when it comes to tracking renters insurance, from confirming the authenticity of insurance documentation and tracking valid coverage to knowing exactly which renters don’t have policies and the moment a policy isn’t valid.

“The hardest part is that while it’s a requirement to have renters insurance to move-in, it’s really difficult to keep track of who remains in compliance and who doesn’t after they move in,” says Mike

Hogentogler, Chief Operating Officer of LCOR, a fully integrated real estate investment, development and management firm. “If an event occurs where an insurance claim needs to be made, we’re left wondering if the resident has coverage or if we will be responsible in any way. There is a lot of uncertainty when it comes to renters insurance, and it’s the type of uncertainty that carries a lot of risk and can get expensive.”

Compliance tracking

Operators who want to check renters insurance policies at a community have to perform random insurance audits. A renter may cancel their policy at any given time, but the only way to truly know is through the audit, and these aren’t feasible every day, let alone every week. Typically, the audits are up to the onsite team, but onsite teams already have their hands full and rarely have time or bandwidth to regularly track insurance. The audits are time-consuming and tedious, and many times these audits are far and few between.

“We’ve always trusted that residents are maintaining a policy, but the compliance tracking process needs to go beyond that,” Hogentogler says. “We need to trust, but verify. There has always been this gray area between the insured resident, insurance provider and the operator. In order to effectively track insurance compliance and really stay on top of it, it’s crucial to close that loop.”

Overarching risks

When residents don’t have renters insurance, it affects the entire community. Should something happen with a resident that is covered under the liability policy, but they don’t have renters insurance, it goes onto the community’s property insurance. As far as expenses go, operators allocate the largest amounts to taxes and insurance. If insurance rates go up, other residents eventually will have to absorb that.

“I want to do everything I can to keep my property insurance as clean as possible so I can get the most favorable rate,” Hogentogler says. “If a resident doesn’t have renters insurance for a problem, it needs to go onto my property insurance, which is now subject to deductibles and also hits my track record. Valid renters insurance policies keep my claims lower on the insurance side and give me a cleaner record so that when I go for renewal, I can push for a lower property rate to make my buildings run more efficiently.”

While there may be some bad actors who are just trying to move in and get by until they can cancel their policy, but most of the time, it’s an honest renewal oversight on behalf of the resident and the policy lapses. It could be something as innocent as a resident signing a 14-month lease, but they only had a 12-month policy and forgot to renew it.

Enter insurance techology (InsurTech) organizations

This is the gray area where InsurTech companies are stepping in to close the loop between residents, insurance providers and operators. Third-party InsurTech providers can do an initial insurance audit in a community so operators can identify which residents must return to compliance and validate policies for new residents. After that, InsurTech providers will take on the tracking process and continue monitoring renters insurance policies in real-time so operators will quickly know if any policies lapse or are canceled.

“Utilizing InsurTech or a third-party provider gives us tremendous comfort in knowing that now we can stay on top of policies in our communities and have the ability to immediately know when a resident falls out of compliance,” Hogentogler said. “Should a resident fall out of compliance, an onsite associate can contact them for documentation of a new policy or let them know we will put one in place for them.”

InsurTech services give operators confidence knowing that they’ve got the right risk mitigation strategies in place and that their most valuable assets are protected should anything happen. But it also provides a higher caliber experience for residents. InsurTech companies provide an easy way for renters to purchase insurance when they are signing a lease. Operators want to provide an exceptional level of customer service at their communities that enhances the resident experience and supplying a way to both purchase and monitor insurance is an extension of that.

“We are hyper-focused on the renter experience and want the insurance process to be as simple and seamless as possible” Hogentogler said. “InsurTech services have mastered how to use technology to allow residents to quickly and easily purchase a customized insurance policy, and also how to integrate that seamlessly into our risk mitigation.”

It’s important for operators to heed risks when it comes to renters insurance compliance, as compliance problems impact both operators and residents and increases costs. While technology has alleviated many pain points for operators, onsite teams and renters alike, it’s now trickling into the insurance arena and creating better processes for purchasing, validating and monitoring compliance and providing more robust risk mitigation tactics.

 

Source: The Problem Multifamily Can No Longer Ignore: Renters Insurance Compliance 

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/the-problem-multifamily-can-no-longer-ignore-renters-insurance-compliance/

Sunday, June 25, 2023

Airbnb, Landlords Working Together To Fill Apartments With New Program

Airbnb, Landlords Working Together To Fill Apartments With New Program

Airbnb rolled out a listing service for apartments that will include buildings where short-term sublets are allowed. Landlords who partner with the service will get a cut of the total booking revenue, usually 20%.

So far, the service offers apartments for short-term occupancy in more than 175 buildings managed by a dozen major apartment landlords in more than 25 markets, including Equity Residential and Greystar Real Estate Partners, The Wall Street Journal reports.

The service is an effort by Airbnb to increase the number of apartments it can offer for short-term rental, which was down 4.9% in October compared with 2019, according to peer-to-peer data specialist AirDNA. Over the same period, the number of total Airbnb listings was up 22.9%.

Airbnb bills the new service as a way for apartment renters to deal with inflation.

"As the cost of living continues to rise, renters can use the extra income earned by hosting part-time on Airbnb to contribute to their rent, save for a home, or pay for other living expenses,” Airbnb co-founder Nathan Blecharzyck, said in a statement.

The new service isn't the only step Airbnb has taken lately to shore up its business.

Earlier this month, the San Francisco-based company said it will increase the amount of liability coverage for hosts to as much as $3M, to better attract owners of houses in high-cost markets, ABC News reports. Airbnb also promised to make hidden cleaning fees — a major complaint among renters — more transparent.

 

Source: Airbnb, Landlords Working Together To Fill Apartments With New Program

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/airbnb-landlords-working-together-to-fill-apartments-with-new-program/

The Dangers of Selling Commercial Property Too Late

The Dangers of Selling Commercial Property Too Late

The last downturn

cost those who chose to sell commercial property an average of

30.3% of their property value


Reason #1

Why people sell commercial property too late:

Complacency

 

Complacency is the most dangerous state to ignore.

It’s the moment before the market corrects and values decline. When the market goes through this initial correction, our natural tendency is to be complacent because initial corrections actually look like a cool-off period.

Then we expect the market to pick up again and continue with its growth phase.

But, the market continues to deteriorate and worries creep in as we wonder what is going on. Next, it is normal to say to yourself that your investments are good ones that they’ll ultimately come back.

When the market continues to soften until it seems there is no hope in coming back, that’s the absolute bottom of the market and the worst time to sell.

 

This point of capitulation is one of surrender and of asking how the government could let something like this happen.


Reason #2

Why people sell commercial property too late:

Ownership and Identity

 

In order to avoid loss, people will overvalue what they own.

That is what Richard Taylor, Daniel Kahneman, and Jack L. Knetsch identified with the Endowment Effect. In fact, Kahneman and Knetsch won the Nobel Peace Prize for their research in this area of behavioral economics.


It’s normal for people to overvalue what they own.


In a study with Cornell undergrads, broken into groups and given identical coffee cups, Kahneman and Knetsch told one group to value the cups they owned and the other group to value the cups they would purchase.

They found the undergrads with the coffee cups were unwilling to sell their coffee cups for less than $5.25 while their less fortunate peers were unwilling to pay more than $2.25 to $2.75.

But, it was Carey Morewedge’s research into the Endowment Effect that revealed that it’s not loss aversion that leads to overvaluation, it’s ownership and identity.

Morewedge found that it’s our sense of possession that creates the feeling of an object being mine, which then becomes a part of our identity.

 

Reason #3

Why people sell commercial property too late:

Loss Aversion

 

Why is it so difficult to sell commercial property in a market decline?

According to Brafman and Brafman, authors of Sway: The Irresistible Pull of Irrational Behavior people will go to great lengths to avoid perceived losses.

What’s more, people also succumb to their will to recover what once was.  They will spend whatever it takes not to lose, be it time, money, or emotional resources.

Imagine watching someone playing craps in Las Vegas. When they are on a roll, taking in their winnings, they race through the growth phase, reaching the peak of the game.

They feel ecstatic.

But what happens when the tide turns and they start to lose?

They enter the complacency stage, call it a short turn of bad luck, and keep playing.  They believe they will return to the top. But their bad luck continues.

By waiting to avoid losses, people hold off and then sell at the wrong time — maximizing their losses.

 

They lose their winnings, keep playing and generate losses. They would rather hold onto the idea of getting back to where they were at almost any cost than realizing their loss and moving on to another opportunity.


Reason #4

Why people sell commercial property too late:

Self Reliance Time Traps

Time Trap #1: Self-Education

 

People will self educate online because it is free and immediately available. A review of the search term on Google for “commercial real estate trends” returned 152 million results. A search for “commercial real estate trends YouTube” turned up 310 million results!

No doubt, an abundance of free information in the form of market data, blogs, market reports, and online opinions on what’s happening in the market is available.

Time Trap #2: Friends, Family, and Non-Commercial Advisors

 

When we aren’t sure what to do, we often consult friends, family, and non-commercial real estate advisors for input. Unfortunately, these people will not want to be the ones to say sell because it is easier to say no and risk being wrong than to say yes and risk not being right.

Plus, most of these folks will not have the data that you have seen here. These people are more likely to share anecdote based advice like “My friend made a killing in real estate. You should hold on, it will come back.” Remember, people who made this mistake lost in 2008-2010.

Time Trap #3: Hire a Traditional Broker

 

It is easy to find a traditional broker, given that 1 in 164 people in the United States today have a real estate license. According to the National Association of Realtors, there are about 2 million active real estate licensees in the United States.

The problem is that most traditional brokers do not specialize in Commercial Real Estate, Investment Sales and further specialization by property type. 


Have you thought of selling your property and would like to know what it's worth? Request a valuation for your property below:

Request Valuation

eXp Commercial Chicago Multifamily Brokerage focuses on listing and selling multifamily properties throughout the Chicago Area and Suburbs.

We don’t just market properties; we make a market for each property we represent. Each offering is thoroughly underwritten, aggressively priced, and accompanied by loan quotes to expedite the sales process. We leverage our broad national marketing platform syndicating to the top CRE Listing Sites for maximum exposure combined with an orchestrated competitive bidding process that yields higher sales prices for your property.

 

 

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/the-dangers-of-selling-commercial-property-too-late/

Saturday, June 24, 2023

Commercial Rate Snapshot 12-5-2022

Commercial Rate Snapshot 12-5-2022

These are the average available rates from eXp Commercial's Capital Partner CommLoan database of 700+ commercial lenders as of 12/05/22 and are provided for comparison purposes only. Actual rates are dependent on property and sponsor.

[ux_html label="Need Financing Now?"] [/ux_html] https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/commercial-rate-snapshot-12-5-2022/

Mason Square

Just Listed! Fully Equipped Car Wash For Sale
1250 Douglas Rd | Oswego IL | 3,750 SF | 6 Bays | 1.19 Acres
Mason Square Car Wash, a fully equipped and operational 6-bay carwash in southwest suburban Chicago’s Oswego, IL. Ideally located on an out-lot of the Mason Square Shopping Center along heavily trafficked Route 34, averaging 45,000 vehicles per day,
Listing Agent: Randolph Taylor 630.474.6441 | rtaylor@creconsult.net
https://www.creconsult.net/fully-equipped-car-wash-oswego-il-route-34/

Friday, June 23, 2023

Renter incomes continue to grow but the pace is moderating

Renter incomes continue to grow, but the pace is moderating ... and interestingly, the moderating pace of growth mirrors the trend in asking rents. Still, this is an encouraging trend for renter affordability -- with household incomes among new lease signers up 8.1% year-over-year in November.

This data is specific to market-rate, professionally managed apartments (which cater to mid- and upper-income renters) and looks at household incomes from lease applications versus the effective asking rents for new leases.

Of course, the sheer number of lease signers was significantly higher in 2021 than it is in 2022 -- given the historic wave of demand in 2021 followed by the big slowdown this year. That's a remarkable part of the story that hasn't gotten widespread notice... that the demand wave of 2021 was notable not only for its size, but also the big incomes behind those numbers. It's also a big reason why rent collections have held up consistently better in this segment of the rental market than what Census HPS has shown from the broader rental pool.

Remember this data (neither rent nor income) will match Census data on the overall population, since market-rate professionally managed apartments cater to mid- and upper-income renters

 

Source: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/jay-parsons-a7a6656_renters-apartments-multifamily-activity-7006272451416391681-FMUW?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/renter-incomes-continue-to-grow-but-the-pace-is-moderating/

1120 E Ogden

Retail / Office Space For Lease | 3,674 SF | $20/SF NNN
1120 E Ogden Ave, Suite 101 | Naperville, IL 60563
Broker: Randolph Taylor rtaylor@creconsult.net | 630.474.6441

https://www.creconsult.net/retail-office-for-lease-1120-e-ogden-ave-suite-101-naperville-il-60563/?wpo_all_pages_cache_purged=1

Thursday, June 22, 2023

What is an Estimated Net Proceeds Sheet and How is this Important to Estimate Capital Gains Tax Exposure

A seller's net proceeds sheet is a document that estimates the amount of money a seller will receive after all closing costs have been paid. The amount of the net proceeds will vary depending on the purchase price of the property, the seller's existing mortgage balance, the amount of real estate taxes due, and other closing costs.

The following factors affect the net proceeds of a sale:

  • Purchase price: The higher the purchase price, the higher the net proceeds.
  • Mortgage balance: The lower the mortgage balance, the higher the net proceeds.
  • Closing costs: Closing costs can vary depending on the state and the type of transaction.
  • Other expenses: Other expenses, such as real estate taxes and home warranty fees, can also reduce the net proceeds.

The net proceeds of a sale are important to capital gains tax exposure because they determine the amount of profit that is subject to tax. The seller's taxable gain is calculated by subtracting the adjusted basis of the property from the net proceeds. The adjusted basis is the original purchase price of the property plus the cost of any improvements that have been made.

For example, if a seller sells a property for $500,000 and has an adjusted basis of $300,000, then the seller's taxable gain is $200,000. The seller will owe capital gains tax on this amount.

The amount of capital gains tax that a seller owes will depend on the seller's income tax bracket and the length of time that the property was held. For example, a seller in the 22% income tax bracket who held the property for less than one year will owe a capital gains tax of 22% on the $200,000 gain.

Selling a property can be a profitable transaction, but it is important to understand the factors that affect the net proceeds and how this can impact your capital gains tax exposure. By understanding these factors, you can make informed decisions about when to sell your property and how to minimize your tax liability.

Here are some tips for sellers to minimize their capital gains tax exposure:

  • Hold the property for at least one year: If you hold the property for at least one year, you will be taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, which is typically lower than the short-term capital gains rate.
  • Make improvements to the property: Any improvements that you make to the property can increase the adjusted basis, which will reduce your taxable gain.
  • Donate the property to charity: If you donate the property to charity, you may be able to claim a charitable deduction, which can offset your taxable gain.

By following these tips, you can minimize your capital gains tax exposure and keep more of the money you earn from selling your property.

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/what-is-an-estimated-net-proceeds-sheet-and-how-is-this-important-to-estimate-capital-gains-tax-exposure/

Basics of Real Estate Syndication

Real Estate Syndication is the phrase used to describe the concept of pooling the resources of and bringing together several different real estate investors in order to do a large commercial deal. In this video, you'll discover the basics of real estate syndication; from the 4 most important things to know when raising capital, to the 3 way you can profit from syndicating real estate, how to find private investors, how to convince investors to invest with you, the top 3 questions all investors will ask you (and how to answer them) along with a very detailed real deal example.

What is Real Estate Syndication?

Real estate syndication is when you raise capital from private individuals. It is an effective way for investors to pool their financial resources together to invest in properties much bigger than they could afford on their own. If you were to find an outstanding deal but didn't have the funds to afford the down payment, you could syndicate it by finding other people to help fund the deal. Or, if you had the down payment but no real experience or confidence to operate the property on your own, you could use real estate syndication to get experienced partners to help with the project. Real estate syndication allows you to close more deals because it allows you to leverage partnerships and other financial resources.

You can even use real estate syndication for retirement planning. Many people, including myself, use syndication as our pension. You might want to consider doing real estate syndication because you can make a nice amount of monthly income through asset management and acquisition fees, or if you are the agent, you can earn lots of commission from selling your own deals.

 

The Four Most Important Things to Know When Raising Capital

1. It is a relationship-based business

It is important to relax and be yourself. I want you to be genuinely interested in the potential investor you are dealing with. Be sure to call them back when you say you're going to call them back and do the things you tell them you are going to do.  Commercial real estate is a relationship-based business. If you do not understand that, you're not going to be successful in raising capital.

2. Put the Investor First and Yourself Second

When you’re raising capital, I want you to have the mentality that your grandmother is the person investing in your deal and that she is doing so with her life savings. If this is the mentality you have, then you will be very careful with the money and not put it towards any iffy deals.

3. Your capital raising efforts need to be structured for efficiency and legal reasons

Real estate syndication is about compliance with the strict laws, rules, and regulations that are set up to protect the investor. Before syndicating a deal, make sure you understand those laws and regulations.

4. Get an attorney who's experienced in real estate syndication

Do not try to set up a real estate syndication without the help of a good attorney. An experienced attorney will make sure you have the exact documents you need, give you the lawful disclosures you need, and provide legal protection when you close a deal with a private investor.

If you were to forget just one of these things, you could open yourself up to a lawsuit or worse. There is a government agency called the SEC, the Security and Exchange Commission, and their purpose is to protect investors from dangerous or illegal financial practices or fraud by requiring full and accurate financial disclosures by you, the syndicator. This is something an attorney can handle for you.

 

The Three Ways You Can Profit From Real Estate Syndication

  1. Acquisition Fees

A syndicator of real estate will receive compensation for finding the deal, doing the due diligence, and even structuring the deal. These fees can range anywhere from 1% to 5% of the project size. For example, if it was a 5 million dollar deal, 5% of that is $250,000 dollars. Or you can choose a flat fee, like 25 or 50,000 dollars. These fees are generally negotiable with the investors that you bring into the deal, but make sure your fees aren't too high, or the investors may be leery of investing with you.

2. Asset Management Fees.

The asset management fees are generally  1 to 5% of your gross monthly income on the property. To get an asset management fee, your role is to manage the partnership and deal syndication. You must send out notices with updates for investors, oversee property management, and help organize tax preparation. This role does not include property management, it is just asset management, so you are overseeing the property management and the entire structure of the partnership. When you take over all of these roles, you're entitled to a monthly asset management fee.

3. Equity participation.

You can be compensated through equity participation in a project, which is basically your ownership stake or your equity stake in a project. It can range between 5% ownership to 50% ownership, depending on your experience and what you bring to the deal. Are you bringing money and experience, or just money, or just experience?

You can also participate in the equity splits on the back end. On the back-end means, when you sell the property, there's a split between you and the investors that decides how much you are going to give them and how much you are going to keep for yourself. For example, your deal might stipulate that 50% of the profits go to you and 50% go to the investor when the deal sells. This allows you to almost double or triple, an investor's rate of return on investment.

 

How to Find Investors

When you are talking to a potential investor,  there are three things going through their mind.

1. They’re thinking about you "Can I trust you?"
2. They’re thinking about the deal. "Is it a good deal?
3. They’re thinking about the risk. "How risky is this deal?

 

Where to Find Them

If you are a beginner investor, your humble beginnings will probably be the same as mine. You have to start someplace, so start by going to real estate club meetings, like REIA meetings and meetup.com, or other get-togethers that are real estate meetings. You can also check out Chamber of Commerce meetings, but I suggest you start in your inner circles, such as your friends, family, coworkers, and former coworkers.

Now, I know some of you might be thinking, "Peter, I don't know anyone with money. All of my friends and family are broke, and I'm too embarrassed to ask my coworkers.” This is a lame excuse.

The truth is you do not know anyone with money YET. There is a lot more money out there today than there are deals. Deals are difficult to find, but money follows good deals.
Your job is to put together good deals, and the money will follow it.

Challenge:

I want you to make a list of 24 people you know that have money or might know people with money. Once you have this list, I want you to contact them and send them the executive summary. An executive summary is a one-page summary of the deal. If you go onto YouTube and look at this video called "The Basics of Real Estate Syndication," there is a link there that you can download, and it's the exact same copy our students use that we send out to potential investors, just to gauge their interest.

If you send this out to 24 people, out of those 24 people, 12 will look at it. That means the other 12 are not even going to read it. Out of the 12 that did read it, 6 are going to show some interest, and the other 6 are not going to be interested. Out of the 6 that show interest, 3 are going to want to talk to you, and out of those 3, 1 will invest. The ratio for beginners is a 24-to-1 ratio. There's no shortcut because no one is going to hand you, investors. You have to go out and find them yourself.

How Many Investors Do You Need?

The short answer is you need double, but here's a long answer. If you need 250,000 dollars for a down payment, then your goal as a beginning syndicator is to raise 500,000 dollars.

Why?

It's because people will be people. Some will back out, some aren't ready, and some just don't want to do it. So to raise $250,000 dollars, you need commitments of double, $500,000 dollars.

What comes first? The deal or the investor?

If you are a beginner, find the investors first. If you are a seasoned investor, the deal comes first.

How to Convince Investors to Invest With You?

When you are sitting face to face with investors, or you have them on the phone, they are wondering, "Can I trust you?", "Is this a good deal?", and "Is this a risky deal?" I'm going to address you, the deal, and the risk in seven components that you must have to convince an investor to invest with you. These seven things will position you for the investor to say yes.

1. Your deal must be underpriced.

It must be priced under market value, so people know it's a good deal.

2. The deal must have some income upside, meaning that there's potential to raise the rent.

There's a potential to get higher lease rates because in commercial real estate, as your income goes up, so does your property value, so if your deal has that attribute to it, it's a good one.

3. You need to have excellent cash and cash return.

Your ROI must be better than what they're getting with their IRA or their 401(k), so make sure you have excellent cash and cash return. I would suggest a minimum of 8%.

4. Your deal must have good demographics

This means that the investment must be in a good neighborhood with good job statistics. Basically, the area of the market must be capable of sustaining your investment for years to come.

5. Your exit strategy must be realistic and conservative

If your exit strategy is too aggressive, they will see that as too risky, and they will not invest.

6. Have a track record

It doesn't have to be your track record. You can bring in someone else's track record and make them a partner in the deal.

7. You need to prepare an executive summary

As I mentioned before, you can go on to my blog "Basics of Real Estate Syndication," to view this executive summary.

If you have those seven things, you put yourself in the best position for the investor to say yes. I'm going to leave you with one word of wisdom on convincing your investor to invest with you. The word of wisdom is to start small. Don't start off by having to raise millions of dollars. Make it easy for yourself.

Top Three Questions Investors Will Ask

1. Is there a guarantee that I'll get my money back?

The answer is no. There is a risk in every investment on the planet, and it's not just the investment; it's everything.  Investors lost a lot of money in 401(k) and stocks in the last market bust. Let them know that the investment is secured by the property, which is in an LLC.  Property insurance will protect them against loss, fire loss, flood loss, vandalism, and things like that, so they'll have that security, but you can't guarantee them anything.

2. "When will I get my money back?"

It depends on the exit strategy. When you meet your investor, have the exit strategy in terms of years already figured out. For example, you can tell them, "The deal goes on for five years, then I am planning on selling the property."" It’s deal-dependent, but most investors don't want to see their money tied up for more than five years, so typically, an exit strategy is three to five years.

3. "Do I get tax benefits?"

The first answer out of your mouth should be, "Please contact your CPA to get advice on tax benefits because I am not a tax professional.” You can also let them know that the IRS will probably call them a passive investor; therefore, they would not qualify for tax write-offs directly from the property.
The cash flow they receive might be sheltered by the LLC's write-offs, such as property expenses and depreciation. This means that it's possible a good portion of their cashflow won't be taxed. It's going to be sheltered by the LLC's expenses, but each deal is different, so check with your CPA.

Real Deal Example

This example is from a student in our protégé program who purchased a 24-unit apartment for 925,000 dollars. The down payment was $200,000 dollars, and he was able to raise the down payment from two investors. The great thing about this deal is the rents can be raised by 150 dollars per unit. That's substantial because the seller lives in another state and has virtually no debt on the property, so there's no large mortgage. The seller has been getting steady cash flow but kept the rents low, so he has not optimized the rents.  If you do the math, $150 per unit x 24 units is  $3,600 income per month, or multiply that by 12 months, that's $43,200 more per year.

In this case, if I divide my additional income of $43,200 by 8%, my 8 cap property value increase is $540,000. If I were to take that $540,000 increase in value and add it to the purchase price of $925,000, the apartment building is now worth $1,465,000. The question is,  "How did he structure the deal with his investors?"

He agreed to pay his investors an 8% return per year for the use of their money for 5 years, and then at the end of 5 years, he's going to sell the property and do an equity split with them. He's going to give them 25% of the profits when he sells the property.

His Exit Strategy

His exit strategy is to complete the rent increases over the next 18 months and then do a cash-out refi and pull out all of the investor money to pay back the investors. In that case, investors would have their money back, but he wants the investors to maintain a small piece of ownership, so they'll get checks every quarter. The investors would have no money in, but they'll still be getting money from the property.  This increases the chances that the investors would be willing to invest in him again. So that's how he structured his deal, kept it nice and short and simple.

 

 

Source: Basics of Real Estate Syndication

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/basics-of-real-estate-syndication/

Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Midwest spotlight: A look at multifamily performance

The multifamily market saw record-breaking rent growth that was backed by high demand in 2022, but that is no longer the case for several regions in 2023. While the volatility in the current market has taken its toll on the sector’s high-paced expansion, not every region in the U.S. is experiencing setbacks. In fact, the Midwest has recently emerged as a thriving area for multifamily investment.

The Midwest offers several advantages compared to other U.S. regions, including its diverse economy, growing population, and stable housing market. All of which makes the region an excellent place for investors looking to expand their portfolios.

Why Invest in the Midwest?

The level of transaction activity in the multifamily market can be influenced by factors such as population growth, government regulations, property taxes, income levels, supply trends, real estate regulations, and more. In the past, larger metros like Chicago and Minneapolis attracted more capital to the Midwest because they offered high levels of the listed market drivers. However, recently, secondary markets have become popular as well, indicating that there is a strong demand for multifamily properties that are well-located.

The region has experienced steady economic growth and low unemployment rates, which provide a stable market for commercial real estate services. The cost of living and doing business is lower in the Midwest than in other parts of the country, leading to lower property prices and higher rental yields.

Additionally, developers are finding it easier to acquire land in the Midwest’s secondary markets and receive the necessary permits to build in a timely manner due to lower barriers to entry compared to other regions.

The region’s transportation infrastructure, including highways, airports, and railways, makes the Midwest a strategic location for businesses and residents. Finally, the region’s diverse economy, with a mix of manufacturing, agriculture, and healthcare industries, ensures a stable demand for commercial real estate.

The Midwest’s growing population, with approximately 68 million residents, creates strong rental housing demand. The median household income for the Midwest was $66,143, according to the 2021 Census Report. The demand for rentals is further boosted by the fact that many people prefer renting to owning due to financial or lifestyle reasons. In fact, homeownership has declined nationwide, with 36 percent of American households now renting instead of owning.

The Midwest generally has more tax-friendly regulations for investors, making the region more attractive. South Dakota is income tax-free, while other Midwest states boast some of the lowest state income tax rates, such as Indiana at 3.16 percent and Michigan at 4.25 percent. Capital gains taxes are also lower in the Midwest compared to coastal markets. North Dakota, with a capital gains rate of 2.90 percent compared to California’s 13.30 percent, is one Midwest state worth highlighting.

Key Midwest Players

Multifamily real estate has been booming in the Midwest in recent years, with several states experiencing strong growth in the rental property market. Chicago has been the epicenter of multifamily investment in Illinois and is currently one of the leading markets for new deliveries. Smaller cities such as Rockford and Aurora have begun providing more affordable rental options. Ohio has seen investment in the cities of Cleveland and Columbus, focusing on redeveloping historic buildings. Columbus, in particular, experienced substantial growth with an expanding downtown to attract young professionals to the area.

In Minnesota, the Twin Cities of Minneapolis and St. Paul have been a hotbed of multifamily investment, with a high demand for rental properties and substantial capital investment. Meanwhile, in Missouri, St. Louis has experienced significant investment in the downtown area and surrounding neighborhoods due to the revitalization brought by the growing tech industry and talent pool. On the other hand, Kansas City has been focusing on suburban construction.

Overall, the Midwest has experienced substantial growth in the multifamily real estate market, driven by a growing population, a robust economy, and a focus on urban revitalization. With a mix of large and small cities experiencing significant development, the region offers a range of opportunities for investors and renters alike.

Illinois – Chicago, Rockford, and Peoria

From Q1 2022 to Q1 2023, around 5,600 units were absorbed in Chicago, which exceeds the average annual net absorption of 4,100 units for the market. Strong demand has led to a decrease in vacancies, further contributing to rent growth in the market. Year-over-year rent gains posted a 4.1 percent increase. The area experienced $5 billion in annual sales volume with an average cap rate of 5.7 percent from Q1 2022 to Q1 2023. Chicago’s two largest submarkets, Downtown and North Lakefront, experienced a high percentage of sales from Q1 2022 to Q1 2023.

In Q1 2023, apartment rents in the Rockford market increased by an annual rate of 5.3 percent. There are 33 units under construction in Rockford, the largest under-construction pipeline in over three years. As of Q1 2023, vacancies in the metro area were slightly below the 10-year average but have remained relatively stable from Q1 2022 to Q4 2022; currently, the vacancy rate is 3.5 percent.

Apartment rents in the Peoria market increased by an annual rate of 9.2 percent in Q1 2023. The current market cap rate decreased since last year to seven percent. This is the lowest rate observed in Peoria in the previous five years, although the city’s cap rate is typically higher than in other regions. The area has had an annual sales volume of $118 million within the last 12 months. Within the past three years, 390 units have been delivered, a cumulative inventory expansion of 3.4 percent, and 160 units are currently under construction.

Ohio – Cleveland and Columbus

The Cleveland market experienced its most active year for deliveries since 2015, adding over 2,000 units in 2022. From Q1 2022 to Q1 2023, total multifamily sales in Cleveland amounted to $159 million, approximately 16 percent higher than the annual average, with a market cap rate of 7.5 percent. The average monthly asking rent in Cleveland is $1,100 per unit, making it a cost-effective market for renters.

From Q1 2022 to Q1 2023, multifamily sales in Columbus amounted to $2.0 billion, which is almost twice the prior three-year average. The majority of development and delivery activity within the submarket occurs in neighborhoods that are adjacent to downtown Columbus and surrounding Ohio State University, playing a significant role in contributing to the submarket’s strong overall performance. In the second half of 2022, quarterly volume reached record levels, with more than $650 million worth of transactions occurring in the third and fourth quarters combined. The market’s affordability and potential for higher yields likely contribute to the substantial sales volume in recent months. ¬¬¬

Minnesota – Minneapolis, Rochester, St. Cloud

Minneapolis achieved an all-time high in annual net deliveries for the fifth consecutive year, with 11,000 units added in 2022. This number is approximately 15 percent higher than the previous record set in 2021. In 2022, the annual sales volume in Minneapolis reached the second-highest level on record, totaling $2.1 billion. Minneapolis’ multifamily investment market has remained strong and durable, thanks to investments made by all types of buyers, including private and institutional capital. These investors are focusing on areas with lower volatility and higher yields that are less vulnerable to the potential impact of rising interest rates and a potential recession in 2023.

In Q1 2023, apartment rental rates in the Rochester market increased at an annual rate of 2.4 percent, and over the past three years, they have increased by an average annual rate of 3.6 percent. There are 940 units under construction, the highest under-construction pipeline in more than three years.

The St. Cloud rental market saw a 3.3 percent rise in apartment rents in Q1 2023, with an average yearly increase of 3.8 percent in the past three years. Home to a state university, the area experienced a 12 month sales volume of $92 million and a market cap rate of 6.7 percent. Additionally, there are currently 210 units being constructed in addition to the 670 units completed in the past three years.

Missouri – St. Louis, Kansas City, Springfield

Over the past year, the St. Louis area has delivered 3,700 units, significantly higher than the annual average of 2,300 units over the past five years. The price per unit is $140,000, representing a 48 percent rise in the past five years. The region’s multifamily market is still considered affordable, with rental rates 30 percent lower than the national average, at $1,140 per month.

The number of units in the Kansas City construction pipeline is 7,900, which accounts for 4.6 percent of the total inventory, one of the highest levels in the Midwest. The 12-month total sales volume is $1.1 billion, with more than half contributed by the sale of Class A properties.

Springfield’s population has increased by 19,000 individuals in the last five years, representing a four percent growth rate. During this time, the number of households in Springfield has grown by 9.7 percent. The yearly sales volume has averaged $49.0 million in the past five years, with a peak investment volume of $160 million during that period. From Q1 2022 to Q1 2023, $1.9 million of multifamily assets have been sold.

Takeaways

Overall, investing in multifamily properties in the Midwest can be a good option for those looking for a stable, income-producing investment with the potential for long-term growth. Many units are currently underway throughout the region, posing additional opportunities for years to come. As more investors move to this area to take advantage of the low cost of living, high demand, and steady economic growth, the region is set to thrive. Multifamily remains resilient despite economic volatility, and Midwest markets are excellent examples of adaptability in times of high-interest rates and slowing rent growth.

 

Source: Midwest spotlight: A look at multifamily performance

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/midwest-spotlight-a-look-at-multifamily-performance/

From Inflation To War Here's What CRE Experts Saw Coming (And Didn't) In 2022

CRE Experts' Predictions For 2022 Were Way Off — And Right On

Many in the commercial real estate world started the year with the global ripple effects of the omicron variant top of mind. But as pandemic restrictions in much of the world have lifted – with the notable exception of China – new concerns have come to dominate conversations about CRE.

While some in the world of commercial real estate predicted economic headwinds after 2021's surprisingly strong year, few were prepared for the volatility of 2022.

Chief among them is the Federal Reserve's rapid pace of interest rate hikes in response to historic inflation, which appears to be finally cooling from this year's record highs.

The factors leading to runaway inflation, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, continue to play a role in the real estate sector in ways that weren’t foreseen in January.

Some early predictions proved incorrect: Despite the seemingly mounting political consensus, 1031 exchanges and the carried interest tax loophole were not ended by President Joe Biden’s marquee infrastructure bill. And despite continued industrial demand and the mushiness of today’s office market, developers have yet to trade suburban office parks for warehouses.

In January, Bisnow polled CRE experts for their takes on what would be the dominant trends of 2022. Below, we break down what they got right and what they missed.

Correct prediction No. 1: Rising inflation will compound rising construction costs, resulting in a slowdown or cancellation of some developments.

 

One of the most dominant storylines this year was inflation reaching the highest levels in decades, fueled in part by rising housing prices. The rapid increase in the cost of goods this year forced construction projects with tight budgets back to the drawing board.

In January, Behring Co. founder and CEO Colin Behring correctly predicted that inflation would mix with already rising costs for materials and labor to create bracing construction headwinds, adding: “Projects that were already struggling will be shelved for the time being.”

But Behring also predicted that “only certain areas and asset types will be affected materially,” which proved too optimistic of an outlook. Even the “darlings of real estate,” industrial and multifamily properties, saw their outlooks dim this year due to persistent inflation, Moody’s Senior Economist and Director of Economic Research Thomas LaSalvia told Bisnow in September.

The true effects of today’s difficult economic environment are expected to ripple into 2023. Dodge Construction Network expects the number of multifamily units under construction to be up 16% in 2022 compared to the previous year, but it expects a 9% decline in 2023 due to the effects of rising costs and turbulence.

Correct prediction No. 2: The hotel market will hit new records in 2022. 

Revenue per available room and average daily rates for hotels nationwide have surpassed pre-pandemic records, propelling the sector to an improbably strong year. Between 2020 and 2021, transaction volume rose from $8B to roughly $40B, and the sector appears poised to come close to $40B again this year, if not a bit below it, said Wei Xie, the East Region research lead for JLL.

That recovery, which Xie called “remarkable,” emphatically outpaced the hotel sector’s recovery following 9/11 and the Great Financial Crisis, despite the choppy credit markets in the latter half of this year.

“It took a substantially longer time period to go from the bottom to the peak” in previous crises, Xie said. “I think it's the remarkable speed in terms of recovery, which is driven by the fundamentals.”

The hotel investment sales market appears to be cooling. Despite the sheer volume of trades this year surpassing 2019 levels, the third quarter began to see properties selling at discounts compared to high points set earlier this year, according to a report from LW Hospitality Advisors. The firm predicted a near-term downward pressure on values, though it noted the cost of borrowed funds remained relatively low.

“A tremendous amount of equity earmarked towards the lodging sector remains available, and asset sales are anticipated to continue at a robust albeit reduced pace,” the report found.

Whiff No. 1: Industrial developers will target large office campuses as new sources of industrial development opportunities.

 

151 and 153 Taylor St. in Littleton, Massachusetts, where an office building was demolished and replaced with an Amazon distribution center.

Despite rising distress in gateway office markets around the country, industrial developers have yet to target such properties for redevelopment in a concerted way. In fact, the industrial market faced headwinds of its own, in part because e-commerce giant Amazon acknowledged it had overbuilt capacity by late summer. The subsequent pullback impacted dozens of properties and led to anger in cities like Philadelphia that had bet on Amazon as a job creator.

Even in the mid-Atlantic region centered around Washington, D.C., which is facing some of the most dire warnings about its central business district of any major market in the country, there were zero industrial adaptive reuse projects of large office campuses, according to CBRE Mid-Atlantic Research Director Stephanie Jennings. Jennings said developers are instead targeting struggling retail properties, which are more plentiful along the Baltimore-Washington corridor and elsewhere.

In many places, an office-to-industrial conversion would likely require a zoning change. That is something Xie said municipalities aren't incentivized to do, given the economic benefits of office workers.

Whiff No. 2: The end of 1031 exchanges and the carried interest tax loophole will cause headwinds for CRE.

In the end, it was the great threat that wasn’t — despite early drafts of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 removing the carried interest tax loophole often used by some of the largest CRE investors, a proposal that would have closed the loophole was carved out of the final version of the bill thanks to an agreement with Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema.

1031 exchanges were also safe after the world of commercial real estate rallied in favor of the longtime program, ensuring firms can continue to avoid capital gains taxes on certain sales.

And despite a prediction that new spending from the infrastructure and Covid relief bills would have little effect on commercial real estate, there may be some positive knock-on effects as federal dollars are disbursed, said Collete English Dixon, executive director of the Marshall Bennett Institute of Real Estate at Roosevelt University.

“Infrastructure that is used to improve transit systems and water systems and things like that, those are ... improving the environment in which the real estate industry operates,” Dixon said.

Surprise No. 1: The Russia-Ukraine War impacted energy prices, supply chains, and commercial real estate writ large.

 

CRE professionals could be forgiven for failing to predict Russia’s invasion of Ukraine early this year, but pricing in the war’s costs as it drags on has become unavoidable. Impacts on the supply chain and energy, in particular, have helped fuel inflation and negatively impacted property types like data centers.

Many countries around the world moved quickly after the invasion to impose sanctions on Russian billionaires, seizing properties in places as disparate as Baton Rouge, Louisiana, and London. The war also forced companies to make decisions about doing business in Russia, with several firms, including CBRE, Savills, and Knight Frank, shutting down their Russian offices.

The flight of millions of Ukrainian refugees has also put a strain on local housing markets. In Ireland, the influx of roughly 200,000 Ukrainians put pressure on lawmakers to consider a vacant homes tax and temporarily house refugees in camps. In the United States, a nonprofit network that formed first to handle an influx of Afghan refugees broadened its embrace to welcome Ukrainian refugees, sometimes bending the rules for the sake of accommodation.

Surprise No. 2: The Federal Reserve went on an aggressive interest rate hiking campaign.

Though some saw rising inflation on the horizon, few predicted how forcefully the Federal Reserve has responded. The streak of four consecutive increases of the federal funds rate by 75 basis points is the most aggressive campaign of rate hikes since the stagflation era of the 1970s and 1980s. It has already contributed to a 13% decline in values across U.S. commercial real estate.

Roosevelt University's English Dixon said the market had already begun pricing some level of inflation and interest rate hikes into deals, acknowledging the hypercharged market in 2021 was at least in part a pandemic-era fluke. But she said the Fed caught the industry off guard.

“The extent of that increase, how big it was, how consistent it was, it was like, ‘Whoa, give me a second here, I've got to catch my breath,’” English Dixon said. “It hit everybody.”

There are some signs the campaign may be easing as the year winds down. The year-over-year increase in the consumer price index was 7.7% in October, down from 8.2% the month prior, a sign that the higher interest rates may be starting to have the Fed’s desired effect on inflation. That has led some to predict that the Fed may not institute another 75 basis point hike at its next meeting on Dec. 13 and 14.

There are also some signs that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell may be willing to back off his aggressive interest rate campaign soon as the market adjusts, English Dixon said. If so, that would make the aggressive campaign that began in March a defining but unique characteristic of 2022.

“I think a lot of times, you just consider how many levers you have and if that was the only one you think is effective. But it was just too harsh,” English Dixon said. “I think it will be unique this year. At least, God, I hope so.”

 

Source: From Inflation To War Here’s What CRE Experts Saw Coming (And Didn’t) In 2022

https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/from-inflation-to-war-heres-what-cre-experts-saw-coming-and-didnt-in-2022/

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