The internal rate of return (IRR) is a widely used investment performance measure in finance, private equity, and commercial real estate. Yet, it’s also widely misunderstood.
The internal rate of return (IRR) is a financial metric used to measure an investment’s performance. The textbook definition of IRR is that it is the interest rate that causes the net present value to equal zero. Although the IRR is easy to calculate, many people find this textbook definition of IRR difficult to understand. Fortunately, there’s a more intuitive interpretation of IRR.
Simply stated, the internal rate of return (IRR) for an investment is the percentage rate earned on each dollar invested for each period it is invested.
We’ll walk through some examples of this more intuitive meaning of IRR step by step. But first, let’s take a closer look at the IRR formula.
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) formula solves for the interest rate that sets the net present value equal to zero.
The IRR formula can be difficult to understand because you first have to understand the Net Present Value (NPV). Since the IRR is an interest rate that sets NPV equal to zero, what is NPV, and what does it mean to set the NPV equal to zero?
Simply stated, the Net Present Value (NPV) is the present value of all cash inflows (Benefits) minus the present value of all cash outflows (Costs). In other words, NPV measures the present value of the benefits minus the present value of the costs:
So, another way to think about the IRR formula is that it is calculating the interest rate that makes the present value of all positive cash flows equal to the present value of all negative cash flows. When this happens, then the net present value will equal zero:
This is what it means to set the net present value equal to zero. If we want to solve for IRR, then we have to find an interest rate that makes the present value of the positive cash flows equal to the present value of the negative cash flows.
Next, let’s walk through how to calculate IRR in more detail, and then we’ll look at some examples.
In most cases, the IRR is calculated by trial and error. This is accomplished iteratively by guessing different interest rates to use in the IRR formula until one is found that causes the net present value to equal zero.
A guess is used for the interest rate variable in the IRR formula, and then each cash flow is discounted back to the present time using this guess as the interest rate (often called the discount rate). This process repeats until a discount rate is found that sets the net present value equation equal to zero.
In the example above, the present cost is $100,000 as shown in Time 0. This is shown as a negative number when dealing with the time value of money because it is a cash outflow or cost. Each future cash inflow is shown on the vertical timeline as a positive number starting in Time 1 and ending in Time 5.
The IRR calculation repeatedly guesses the interest rate that will make the sum of all present values equal to zero. When this happens, the present value will equal the present cost, which will set the net present value equal to zero.
As you can imagine, guessing different interest rates over and over is a tedious and time-consuming process, so it is hard to calculate IRR by hand. However, the IRR calculation can be easily performed using a financial calculator or the IRR function in Excel.
The internal rate of return can be calculated using the IRR function in Excel:
To calculate IRR in Excel, you need:
The reason Excel requires evenly spaced cash flows is that IRR calculates a periodic interest rate. To calculate a periodic rate, cash flows must occur regularly over the same period of time. For example, an annual IRR will require cash flows that occur annually and a monthly IRR will require cash flows that occur monthly.
The XIRR function in Excel is commonly used to calculate a return on a set of irregularly spaced cash flows. Instead of solving for an effective periodic rate like the IRR, the XIRR calculates an effective annual rate that sets the net present value equal to zero.
Memorizing IRR formulas and calculations is one thing, but truly understanding what IRR means will give you a big advantage. Let’s walk through a detailed example of IRR and show you exactly what it does, step-by-step.
Suppose we are faced with the following series of cash flows:
This is pretty straightforward. An investment of $100,000 made today will be worth $161,051 in 5 years. As shown, the IRR calculated is 10%. Now let’s take a look under the hood to see exactly what’s happening to our investment in each of the 5 years:
As shown above in year 1 the total amount we have invested is $100,000 and there is no cash flow received. Since the 10% IRR in year 1 we receive is not paid out to us as an interim cash flow, it is instead added to our outstanding investment amount for year 2. That means in year 2 we no longer have $100,000 invested, but rather we have $100,000 + 10,000, or $110,000 invested.
Now in year 2 this $110,000 earns 10%, which equals $11,000. Again, nothing is paid out in interim cash flows, so our $11,000 return is added to our outstanding internal investment amount for year 3. This process of increasing the outstanding “internal” investment amount continues all the way through the end of year 5 when we receive our lump sum return of $161,051. Notice how this lump sum payment includes both the return of our original $100,000 investment, plus the 10% return “on” our investment.
This is much more intuitive than the common mathematical explanation of IRR as “the discount rate that makes the net present value equal to zero.” While technically correct, it doesn’t help us all that much in understanding what IRR actually means. As shown above, the IRR is clearly the percentage rate earned on each dollar invested for each period it is invested. Once you break it out into its individual components and step through it period by period, this becomes easy to see.
IRR can be a helpful decision indicator for selecting an investment. However, there is one critical point that must be made about IRR: it doesn’t always equal the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) on an initial investment.
Let’s take an example to illustrate. Suppose we have the following series of cash flows that also generates a 10% IRR:
In this example, an investment of $100,000 is made today and in exchange we receive $15,000 every year for 5 years, plus we also sell the asset at the end of year 5 for $69,475. The calculated IRR of 10% is the same as our first example above. But let’s examine what’s happening under the hood to see why these are two very different investments:
As shown above in year 1 our outstanding investment amount is $100,000, which earns a return on investment of 10% or $10,000. However, our total interim cash flow in year 1 is $15,000, which is $5,000 greater than our $10,000 return “on” investment. That means in year 1 we get our $10,000 return on investment, plus we also get $5,000 of our original initial investment back.
Now, notice what happens to our outstanding internal investment in year 2. It decreases by $5,000 since that is the amount of capital we recovered with the year 1 cash flow (the amount exceeding the return on portion). This process of decreasing the outstanding “internal” investment amount continues all the way through the end of year 5. Again, the reason our outstanding initial investment decreases is that we are receiving more cash flow each year than is needed to earn the IRR for that year. This extra cash flow results in capital recovery, thus reducing the outstanding amount of capital we have remaining in the investment.
Why does this matter? Let’s take another look at the total cash flow columns in each of the above two charts. Notice that in our first example the total cash flow was $161,051 while in the second chart the total cash flow was only $144,475. But wait a minute, I thought both of these investments had a 10% IRR?! Well, indeed they did both earn a 10% IRR, as we can see by revisiting the intuitive definition of IRR:
The Internal rate of return (IRR) for an investment is the percentage rate earned on each dollar invested for each period it is invested.
The internal rate of return measures the return on the outstanding “internal” investment amount remaining in an investment for each period it is invested. The outstanding internal investment, as demonstrated above, can increase or decrease over the holding period. IRR says nothing about what happens to capital taken out of the investment. And contrary to popular belief, the IRR does not always measure the return on your initial investment.
A good IRR is one that is higher than the minimum acceptable rate of return. In other words, if your minimum acceptable rate of return, also called a discount rate or hurdle rate, is 10% but the IRR for a project is only 8%, then this is not a good IRR. On the other hand, if the IRR for a project is 18%, then this is a good IRR relative to your minimum acceptable rate of return.
Individual investors usually think about their minimum acceptable rate of return, or discount rate, in terms of their opportunity cost of capital. The opportunity cost of capital is what an investor could earn in the marketplace on an investment of similar size and risk. Corporate investors usually calculate a minimum acceptable rate of return based on the weighted average cost of capital.
Before determining whether an investment is worth pursing, even if it has a good IRR, it is important to be aware of some IRR limitations.
IRR can be useful as an initial screening tool, but it does have some limitations and shouldn’t be used in isolation. When comparing two or more investment alternatives, the IRR can be especially problematic. Let’s review some disadvantages of IRR you should be aware of.
IRR and timing of cash flows
The internal rate of return for an investment only measures the return in each period on the unrecovered investment balance, which can vary over time. That means the timing of the cash flows can impact the profitability of an investment, but this won’t always be indicated by the IRR. Recall the two IRR examples discussed above:
The first investment on the left produces cash flow each year, while the second does not. Although both investments produce a 10% IRR, one is clearly more profitable than the other. The reason is that in the first investment, the unrecovered investment balance changes from year to year, while in the second investment it does not.
As a result, the IRR could conflict with other measures of investment performance, such as the equity multiple or net present value. This is one reason why the IRR can be useful as an initial screening tool, but shouldn’t be used in isolation.
IRR ignores the size of the project
The IRR also does not account for the magnitude of a project. That means the project with the highest IRR won’t necessarily be the project with the highest profit. For example, consider the following two options.
Even though option 1 has a higher internal rate of return, option 2 has the highest profit. This can happen because IRR ignores the size of the project.
Multiple IRRs
When a stream of cash flows has more than one sign change, then multiple IRRs can exist. For example, consider the following scenario:
When you calculate an IRR on these cash flows, you actually get multiple solutions! The reason this occurs has to do with Descartes’ rule of signs concerning the number of roots in a polynomial. This means that the number of positive IRRs can be as many as the number of sign changes in the cash flows.
The Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR) was designed to solve the multiple IRR problem and many other limitations of IRR as well.
One of the most commonly cited limitations of the IRR is the so-called “reinvestment assumption.” In short, the reinvestment assumption says that the IRR assumes interim cash flows are reinvested at the same rate as the IRR.
The idea that the IRR assumes interim cash flows are reinvested is a major misconception that’s unfortunately still taught by many business school professors today.
As shown in the step-by-step approach above, the IRR makes no such assumption. The internal rate of return is a discounting calculation and makes no assumptions about what to do with periodic cash flows received along the way. It can’t because it’s a DISCOUNTING function, which moves money backwards in time, not forward.
Should you consider the yield you can earn on interim cash flows that you reinvest? Absolutely, and there have been various measures introduced over the years to turn the IRR into a measure of return on the initial investment, such as the Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR).
This is not to imply that the IRR doesn’t have some limitations, as we discussed in the examples above. It’s just to say that the “reinvestment assumption” is not among them.
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is a popular measure of investment performance. While it’s normally explained using its mathematical definition (the discount rate that causes the net present value to equal zero), this article showed step-by-step what the IRR actually does. What is IRR? Once you walk through the examples above, this question becomes much easier to answer. It also becomes clear that the IRR isn’t always what people think it is. That is, IRR isn’t always the compound annual growth rate on the initial investment amount. IRR can be useful as an initial screening tool, but it does have several limitations and therefore should not be used in isolation.
Source: Internal Rate of Return (IRR): What You Should Know
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/internal-rate-of-return-irr-what-you-should-know/
Multifamily sellers: How to qualify a buyer before going under contract
As the seller of a multifamily asset, it’s crucial that the buyer you select is the best possible prospect for your property. Don’t waste time, money, and opportunities: you must ensure they’re qualified and can close and execute the contract as signed.
Keep reading to learn why it’s essential to qualify a buyer before going under contract on your multifamily property and how to do it.
Why do I need to qualify a buyer?
It’s important to close with the first buyer you select. If you don’t, each buyer after that will ask themselves, “What did that other buyer discover about this property that I am missing?”.
When you enter into a contract with a refundable deposit, you’re basically giving your chosen buyer a free option on your property for a period of time, typically 30–60 days. Before you proceed, you must be confident that they can close and execute the contract as signed.
What’s more, your tenants and staff will be disturbed throughout the contract process. To minimize the period of disruption, you should do all you can to ensure the transaction will close successfully at the end of the contract process.
As a seller, you’re required to provide due diligence information to the prospective buyer. When you qualify your buyer, you’ll greatly reduce the risk of wasting a lot of time and doing a lot of work only to not close on the property.
How do I qualify a buyer?
Before you sign the contract, make sure that your prospective buyer can provide certain items. Always ask them for the following:
– Proof of funds
– Lender pre-qualification
– A list of the other properties they own
– A list of the sellers and agents that they have worked with
For added reassurance, it’s recommended that you call the buyer’s lender to confirm their pre-qualified status. You can also call the agents, sellers, and buyers they’ve closed with in the past to enquire about how the transactions went.
Has the buyer toured the property in person before making an offer? Have they reviewed the due diligence information beforehand? If they have, this is a great sign. It’s proof that they have seen and have taken into account any issues with your property, and this greatly reduces the chances that they may later want to back out of the sale, saying they were unaware of the building’s condition. Be very wary of a buyer who doesn’t tour your property in person.
A prospective buyer who shows they’re motivated and wants to move quickly is also a great sign for a successful closing. The shorter the due diligence period, the better, and the larger the deposit, the better.
When you spend the time making sure your prospective buyer fulfills these criteria, you’ll put yourself in a great position to close successfully and ensure a quick and smooth transaction.
If you need help selling your multifamily property, eXp Commercial is here. Our objective as your multifamily advisor is to help you achieve your investment goals: from determining the listing price to selecting the best buyer and handling the sale process through to the closing, we’ll facilitate a smooth transaction for you.
Source: Multifamily sellers: How to qualify a buyer before going under contract
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/multifamily-sellers-how-to-qualify-a-buyer-before-going-under-contract/
In this article we are going to conduct an investment analysis on a 140 unit apartment building acquisition. We’ll walk through the process of forecasting cash flows and also explain the calculations needed to determine investment value. Read on as we take a deep dive into the world of apartment investing.
First, before we jump into the details of this investment analysis, let’s quickly go over our objectives. Here’s what we’ll accomplish in this case study:
An investor is considering buying an apartment building with 140 units offered for sale at $16,500,000. The subject apartment building has the following unit mix:
Additionally, the following assumptions are also being made by the investor in order to construct a 5-year cash flow proforma:
Vacancy and Credit Loss
In the current market, vacancy and credit losses are running at 9%. Due to the improving market conditions as well as the investor’s prior experience leasing and operating multifamily buildings, it’s expected that vacancy will steadily decline over the next 5 years to 5%.
Potential Rental Income
Potential rental income is based on the above unit mix. The 1-bedroom and studio rental rates are expected to increase at 2% annually. The 2-bedroom units are also expected to increase at 2% annually.
Financing
After a preliminary discussion with a relationship manager at a local bank it’s determined that a loan can be extended based on the lesser of a 1.25x debt service coverage ratio or 80% loan to value. Additionally, assuming the underwriting process doesn’t reveal any red flags, it’s expected that the loan will be based on a 20 year amortization and a 6% interest rate.
Operating Expenses
The following table breaks out historical operating expenses for the property as well as projected increases over the holding period.
Reserves for Replacement
In addition to the above operating expenses a reserve for replacement of $250 per unit will also be included in this analysis.
Sales Price and Cost of Sale
The projected sale price is estimated by applying a conservative 3% annual growth rate to the acquisition price of the property over the 5 year holding period. Additionally, a 6% cost of sale is factored into the net sales proceeds to account for selling costs.
Acquisition Costs
In addition to the $16,500,000 purchase price, an additional $50,000 is factored in to account for closing costs.
Discount Rate
For the purposes of this case study we’ll assume that the investor’s discount rate, or required rate of return, is 15%.
Using the above assumption we can now build a proforma for the proposed apartment investment property. This can be accomplished in Excel in a few hours, or in our case we did this entire analysis in less than 10 minutes.
Now that we have a 5 year proforma, let’s take a look at what the maximum supportable loan amount is based on these cash flows. Using the above 1.25x DSCR and 80% LTV assumptions we get the following:
As shown above, the maximum loan analysis based on year 1 proforma NOI is about $12,250,000. Assuming we can get this loan amount approved at the 6% rate amortized over 20 years, this is the updated proforma:
You’ll notice that the debt we added to the property reduced our cash flow significantly, however, this also reduces our equity requirement and therefore improves yield. We’ll discuss this in more detail below, but first let’s take a look at some quick ratios:
Year 1 cash on cash return is 6.14%. At first glance this is well below our target rate of return of 15%, However, because the cash on cash return only takes into account a single year instead of the entire holding period, the IRR and NPV below will be much more relevant for our purposes.
The gross rent multiplier is 7.58x, which taken by itself doesn’t mean much. However, assuming we have some other submarket data to compare this to we can check whether or not it’s in line with comparable properties. The important take away here is to check whether or not the gross rent multiplier is abnormal, and if so, to further investigate why.
The debt service coverage ratio is in line with the bank’s requirement of 1.25x and improves over the holding period. This is partially due to our assumption of increasing occupancy over our investment horizon, as well as increasing rental rates. We’ll stress test these assumptions further below, but at first glance the DSCR is adequate for this deal.
Finally, the breakeven occupancy on this property is just under 79%. This means total vacancy can go up to 21% and the property will still produce enough cash flow to cover expenses and debt service. Good to know.
Screening this property with the above ratios is a good starting point, but ultimately a full discounted cash flow analysis should be completed to determine IRR and NPV:
As you can see above, the levered internal rate of return comes in at 18.65%. While the above Year 1 cash on cash return didn’t meet our required rate of return of 15%, the full discounted cash flow analysis shows that the yield on this investment comfortably exceeds our target return. In fact, the net present value tells us that we can pay about $650,000 over the asking price and we’ll still achieve our target yield. This can come in handy during negotiations, especially in a competitive bidding situation.
So after a quick first pass it appears that this potential acquisition meets our target yield based on some reasonable assumptions. However, what if our assumption of a declining vacancy rate, from 9% in Year 1 to 5% in Year 5, turns out to be overly optimistic? Let’s take a look at what we deem to be a worst case scenario – that the market vacancy rate actually deteriorates after we acquire the property to 15%, rather than the current 9%. How will this impact our IRR?
While a worse than expected vacancy rate does reduce our cash flow, it turns out that we’d still achieve our target yield of 15%. What about the debt service coverage ratio? Will a higher than expected vacancy rate violate our 1.25x DSCR loan covenant? Let’s take a look at what happens to the debt service coverage ratio as we move from a 6% vacancy rate all the way up to a 20% vacancy rate:
As shown above, in Year 1 we actually can’t support a 1.25x DSCR requirement at a vacancy rate of 10%. While this does improve over the holding period, this could be problematic for us if the market turns out worse than expected. This could also be discovered during the loan underwriting process, resulting in a lower loan amount or stronger loan covenants. This information might come in handy during negotiations.
Next, let’s take a look at how sensitive our DSCR is to our loan interest rate. This is useful in understanding how much wiggle room there is in negotiating the interest rate with our bank, as well as understanding how capital market conditions might affect the buyer of our property at the end of the holding period.
As shown above, 6% appears to be the upper limit loan interest rate based on Year 1 cash flow. Once the rate gets beyond 6% it starts eating into our 1.25x DSCR requirement. However, in subsequent years, assuming we hit our projections, the property can support a much higher interest rate based on the same loan amount. This provides some cushion toward the end of our holding period, in case the then prevailing market conditions change and interest rates rise.
While there are several different angles you can look at when underwriting a potential acquisition, this simple case study illustrates a few core concepts. First, sizing up a loan amount based on proforma cash flow. Second, calculating and interpreting several quick but useful ratios. Third, understand whether or not an acquisition meets a target yield. And finally, understanding how changes in our assumptions affect our resulting cash flow and underwriting ratios. While there are several additional layers of analysis we can dive into for a property like this, the above analysis gives us a good starting point for screening this particular property.
Source: Apartment Investing Case Study
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/apartment-investing-case-study/
Value is traditionally defined as the power of a good to command other goods or services when exchanged. Within this broad definition of value, there are various types of value given to real property, such as investment value, market value, insurable value, assessed value, liquidation value, or replacement value. In this article we’ll go over different types of real estate value, and then zero in and focus on the difference between investment value and market value, which is often confused by commercial real estate professionals.
First of all, let’s briefly go over several common types of commercial real estate value, then we’ll dive into the difference between investment and market value and clarify with an example.
Market Value is what’s typically meant when referring to a property’s value and is the value used for loan underwriting purposes. The Appraisal Foundation has a specific definition for market value as published in the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP). According to the Appraisal Foundation, market value is the most probable price a property would bring in a competitive and open market under all conditions requisite to a fair sale, with the buyer and seller each acting prudently and knowledgeably, and assuming the price is not affected by undue stimuli.
Investment Value refers to the value to a specific investor, based on that investor’s requirements, tax rate, and financing.
Insurable Value – This covers the value of the portions of a property that are destructible for the purposes of determining insurance coverage.
Assessed Value – Assessed value is the value determined by the local tax assessor to levy real estate taxes.
Liquidation Value – Liquidation value establishes the likely price that a property would sell for during a forced sale, such as a foreclosure or tax sale. Liquidation value is used when there is a limited window for market exposure or when there are other restrictive sale conditions.
Replacement Value – This is the cost to replace the structure with a substitute structure that is identical or that has the same utility as the original property.
A property can have any of the above types of value at any given time, with no two values necessarily being the same. This is an important point to remember when trying to understand the value of a commercial real estate property. This is especially true when determining market value and investment value.
Market value is what’s determined by an appraisal. During the commercial loan underwriting process, most lenders will require a third-party appraisal in order to determine a market value estimate, which is then used to find an appropriate loan amount and collateral value.
How do appraisers determine market value? First, before a market value can be estimated by an appraiser, the highest and best use for the property must be determined. The highest and best use is the legal use of a property that yields the highest present value. This process usually begins with evaluating the zoning laws to understand the legally permitted uses for the property.
Once the legally permitted uses are understood, the physically possible uses are then considered, within the bounds of the zoning ordinances. This takes into account the physical limitations of the property such as topography, size, layout, etc.
Finally, the financial feasibility is considered for all of the uses that are legally permissible and physically possible. The financially feasible use that produces the highest financial return is the highest and best use.
Once the highest an best use is determined, the appraiser can then determine market value. Appraisers may use three basic approaches to estimate market value: the sales comparison approach, the cost approach, and the income approach, using either the Direct Capitalization Method or the Discounted Cash Flow Model. We discuss each of these approaches in detail here, but below we’ll briefly summarize.
Sales Comparison Approach
The sales comparison approach links the value of a property to prices that recent buyers have paid for similar properties. In reality no two properties are exactly alike, but this approach can provide a reasonable estimation of value when there is a large quantity of recently sold comparable transactions.
Income Capitalization Approach
The income based approach to market value derives property value from the income it produces. The two methods used to value a property based on income are the direct capitalization method and the discounted cash flow valuation method.
Cost Approach
The cost approach bases value on the cost of reproducing a property, less any accrued depreciation. Accrued depreciation can come from three sources: physical deterioration, functional obsolescence, and external obsolescence. Once the replacement cost is determined and the accrued depreciation is netted out, the cost is added to the value of the land to determined an appropriate value based on cost.
Reconciliation of Value
In a full appraisal the above values are typically reconciled by using a weighted average to determine the final value estimate. For example, it may be determined that a higher weight should be given to the income approach because the available comparable sales data is weak, and as such this would be reflected in the final reconciled market value.
While the market value process is usually used in appraisals for loan underwriting purposes, when deciding how much to pay for a property, investors also consider how much a property is worth. Investment value is the amount that an investor would pay for a specific property, given that investor’s investment objectives, including target yield and tax position.
Because investment value depends on an investor’s investment objectives, investment value is unique to the investor. As such, different investors can apply the same valuation methods and still come up with different investment values. Investors can choose from a variety of valuation methods when determining investment value, unlike appraisers who have to adhere to strict procedural guidelines. The following are the most common measures of investment value:
Comparable Sales (Comps) – This is the same sales comparison approach mentioned above that is used by appraisers. Typically investors will compare similar properties on a per square foot or per unit basis.
Gross Rent Multiplier – This is a simple ratio that measures investment value by multiplying the gross rents a property produces in a year by the market based Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM). The gross rent multiplier is usually derived from comparable properties within the same submarket.
Cash on Cash Return – The cash on cash return is another simple ratio used to determine investment value. It’s calculated by taking the first year’s proforma cash flow before tax and dividing it by the total initial investment.
Direct Capitalization – This is the same direct capitalization approach mentioned above that is used by appraisers. Capitalizing the income stream of a property is a very common and simple way to determine both market and investment value for a commercial property.
Discounted Cash Flow – The discounted cash flow model is used to find an internal rate of return, net present value, and a capital accumulation comparison. While the simple ratios above are quick and easy, they do come with several built-in limitation that are solved by a discounted cash flow analysis.
As shown above, market value is essentially the value of a property in an open market and is what’s determined by an appraisal. Investment value, on the other hand, is determined by an individual investor based on that investor’s unique investment criteria and goals.
Let’s take a quick example to illustrate this difference. Suppose an individual investor is contemplating the acquisition of a small apartment building and has projected the following cash flows:
As shown above, using the investor’s discount rate of 10%, the property generates a levered NPV of $210,820. This property is under contract with a total purchase price of $1,200,000 but the above analysis implies the investor could pay up to $1,410,820 and still achieve the target yield. Check out the intuition behind IRR and NPV to learn more about how this works.
The above levered analysis assumes that the investor can obtain a $960,000 loan (80% loan to value), amortized over 20 years at 5%. But suppose that during the underwriting process the bank orders a third-party appraisal and it comes in at $1,000,000 rather than the $1,200,000 the investor is paying. This also reduces the supportable loan amount to $800,000 (based on an 80% LTV) rather than the anticipated $960,000. Unfortunately, in this scenario it turns out that the seller refuses to sell for less than $1,200,000. In other words, this is an above market transaction where the investment value is higher than the market value. Does it still make sense to do the deal?
Let’s take a look at what the new cash flows look like to the investor in this new loan scenario:
As shown above the new loan amount reduces the yield to 16% from 22%. But this still exceeds the investor’s required return of 10%. So, does it make sense to do the deal? As always, it depends.
In most cases the investment value and the market value should be approximately equal, but sometimes these two values will diverge. On the one hand investment value can be higher than market value. This can happen when the value to a particular buyer is higher than the value to an average, well-informed buyer. For example, this might be the case when a company expands to a new building for sale across the street, paying more than market value in order to keep competitors out of the sub-market. The additional value over and above the market value provides a strategic advantage and therefore might be justified. In the case of an investor, investment value could sometimes be higher than market value due to favorable financing terms or tax treatment that is non-transferable.
On the other hand, investment value can be lower than market value. This might be the case if the particular asset class in question is not a property type that you specialize in. For example, if you are primarily a multifamily developer, then decide to evaluate a site for possible hotel development, your internal investment value may be less than the market value due to the steeper learning curve costs involved. Additionally, investment value could be lower than market value if you require an above-average return based on your existing portfolio mix. In these cases it can sometimes be tempting to pursue a deal even though investment value is less than market value. In these cases think carefully before getting distracted by something that might not make sense.
The safest policy is of course to make sure a transaction makes sense both from an investment value perspective as well as a market value perspective. Keep in mind that investment value is much more subjective than market value, and as such it can be abused. To avoid falling victim to investment value abuse, it’s best to always estimate market value whenever a relevant market exists. Be especially skeptical if someone claims that investment value differs from market value in a way that supports his or her sales pitch. They might be right, but as the saying goes, trust but verify.
Source: Difference Between Market Value and Investment Value in Commercial Real Estate
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/difference-between-market-value-and-investment-value-in-commercial-real-estate/
The price gap between average apartment rents and the cost of owning a home in the Chicago metro area is widening, providing landlords with leverage to push rents even higher.
According to a recent report by RentCafe, the average rent in Chicago is now $2,215 per month. This is significantly higher than the cost of owning a home, which is currently $1,950 per month, including mortgage payments, property taxes, and insurance.
The widening price gap is being driven by a number of factors, including rising interest rates and strong home values. As interest rates have increased, the monthly cost of owning a home has become more expensive. At the same time, home values in Chicago have continued to rise, making it even more difficult for first-time homebuyers to enter the market.
The widening price gap is giving landlords more leverage to push rents. With fewer people able to afford to buy a home, demand for rental housing is increasing. This is putting upward pressure on rents, and landlords are starting to see more success in raising rents.
The widening price gap is also having an impact on multifamily net operating income (NOI). NOI is the money that a multifamily property generates after paying all of its operating expenses. As rents increase, NOI also increases. This can help to offset the higher commercial mortgage interest rates that landlords are facing.
In the long term, it is unclear whether the widening price gap between rent and home ownership will continue. However, in the short term, it is likely to continue to put upward pressure on rents and boost multifamily NOI.
Bottom Line
The price gap between rent and home ownership in Chicago is widening, providing landlords with leverage to push rents even higher. This is being driven by rising interest rates and strong home values. The widening price gap is also having an impact on multifamily NOI, which is likely to increase in the short term.
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/price-gap-between-rent-and-home-ownership-in-chicago/
