Saturday, January 8, 2022

Chicago Business Activity Accelerated in December MNI Survey Shows

 

Growth of business activity in the Chicago area picked up pace in December on continued strong underlying demand for goods, according to data released Thursday by MNI Indicators.

The Chicago Business Barometer rose to 63.1 in December from 61.8 in November, suggesting that growth accelerated over the month. The reading beat economists' forecasts, who in a poll by The Wall Street Journal expected it to come in at 62.0.

The barometer is compiled after surveying companies in the Chicago area to assess business conditions. Readings above 50 point to expansion of activity, while readings below 50 indicate contraction.

The reading takes into account five components: new orders, order backlogs, production, supplier deliveries, and employment.

Among the main five indicators, production and new orders were higher; while order backlogs, employment, and supplier deliveries indexes fell.

The gain in the headline index was supported by a sharp increase in the new orders index to 66.5. The production index increased marginally, suggesting steady output growth.

The employment index declined for the second month in a row, dropping seven points to the lowest level since June. "Firms stated that finding new hires to fill empty positions is challenging," the report said.

The survey showed signs of easing supply-chain bottlenecks.

The supplier deliveries index dropped to 80.5, still signaling long delivery times but less so than in the previous month. However, firms continued to report slow deliveries, port congestion and trucking issues.

The order backlogs index dropped 5.2 points to the lowest reading this year, and inventories rose for the third consecutive month.

The prices paid for raw materials index declined 4.2 points to a seven-month low of 89.6 in December, signaling that prices grew at a slightly slower pace. However, the reading is still above the 12-month average of 88.0, as shortages of certain materials led to inflated costs, MNI Indicators said.


https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/chicago-business-activity-accelerated-in-december-mni-survey-shows/

Friday, January 7, 2022

Illinois RE Journal Forecast Chicago 20th Anniversary Conference

 

Marcus & Millichap is proud to be a Gold Sponsor of the Forecast Chicago 20th Anniversary Conference presented by Illinois Real Estate Journal in Rosemont, IL on January 6, 2022. Steven D. Weinstock, FVP/National Director, Self-Storage Division and Regional Manager of the Chicago Oak Brook office, is a panelist on the Investment Breakout Session at 11:00 a.m. CT. Joe Powers, Regional Manager of the Chicago Downtown office, is a panelist on the concurrent Multifamily Breakout Session, also at 11:00 a.m. CT. Join the Marcus & Millichap team at this event and learn how our 50 years of experience can help you reach your investment goals.

 

REGISTER

 
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/illinois-re-journal-forecast-chicago-20th-anniversary-conference/

Thursday, January 6, 2022

Multifamily Forum Southeast

 

The Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Southeast brings together the most active multifamily developers, investors, owners, and operators in the region to create a marketplace for learning, discovery, networking, and deal-making. The event will be held on Thursday, March 31, 2022, at the Loudermilk Convention Center in Atlanta, GA. Meet with our multifamily and financial advisors and discover how our unique combination of expertise and experience can help you achieve your investment goals.

 

REGISTER

 
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/multifamily-forum-southeast/

Wednesday, January 5, 2022

CNBC Features Marcus & Millichap CEO Hessam Nadji Commercial Real Estate Gathers Momentum

 

CNBC Features Marcus & Millichap CEO Hessam Nadji

 

Commercial Real Estate Gathers Momentum; Performance Gap Widens by Property Type

 

Why Broad-based Recovery Should Continue in 2022

Latest Perspective on the Office Sector, Suburban vs. Urban Outlook

Potential Risks and Headwinds

 

 

 

 
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/cnbc-features-marcus-millichap-ceo-hessam-nadji-commercial-real-estate-gathers-momentum/

Tuesday, January 4, 2022

US Property Price Growth Breaks Records as Demand Swells

 

The headline rate of U.S. property price growth climbed to the fastest annual rate in the history of the RCA CPPI in October amid intense investor demand for commercial real estate. The RCA CPPI National All-Property Index rose 15.9% from a year ago and 1.7% from September, the latest RCA CPPI: US report shows.

For the year through October, investors acquired $523.8 billion of commercial property assets, a 70% increase on the same period in 2021, as shown in the US Capital Trends report, also released this week.  Investors spent more than $200 billion on apartment properties in the first 10 months of 2021, almost double the activity seen at this point in 2020, and more than $100 billion on industrial properties.

Industrial prices rose 18.9% in October from a year ago and 1.9% from September, the fastest annual and monthly rates among the major property sectors. The apartment index climbed 16.8% from a year ago, the fastest rate in the history of the RCA CPPI for this sector. Apartment prices rose 1.4% from September.

The office index increased 13.7% year-over-year in October, a fourth consecutive month of double-digit growth. Suburban office prices continued to drive gains, increasing 15.6% from a year prior. The CBD office index rose 0.9% year-over-year, an improvement from the declines seen for most of 2021.


https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/us-property-price-growth-breaks-records-as-demand-swells/

Monday, January 3, 2022

Here Are the Apartment Markets Attracting New Renters

 

Remote work continues to dominate renter migration patterns, according to data released this week by Apartment List—particularly in tech-hub markets such as San Jose, Raleigh, and Austin.

Dramatic rent increases have hit virtually all corners of the nation in 2021. Nationally, the median rent price is up over 16% since January, and in some cities rent growth is more than double that, Apartment List reported.

“Today, renters who are looking to move are not only dealing with this affordability crunch, but also navigating a tight market with historically low vacancy rates,” according to the report. “At the same time, migration patterns are also being impacted by one of the most significant societal shifts brought about by the COVID pandemic—remote work.”

Top Three ‘Revolving Door’ Markets

San Jose, Raleigh, and Austin are experiencing high turnover with many renters considering moving both in and out.

These three “revolving-door” metros are the only places that appear in the top 10 for both metrics. In San Jose and Raleigh specifically, the cross-metro rate exceeds 50% for both outbound and inbound searches.

These regions stand out as technology hubs heavily disrupted by the remote work revolution. In fact, they rank first (San Jose), fourth (Austin), and eighth (Raleigh) in terms of the share of their workforce that have remote-friendly occupations.

This quarter’s report incorporates the search preferences of users who registered with Apartment List between July 1 and Sept. 30, 2021.

“Newfound flexibility has likely given many residents of these three metros the opportunity to move somewhere new, which in turn creates vacancies that attract new renters from afar,” Apartment List reported. “We have seen this dynamic play out in local rent prices, where over the last 18 months these cities experienced dramatic rent declines followed by similarly-dramatic rent rebounds as residents cycle in and out of the rental market.”

Beyond these three, other technology-friendly markets that are experiencing high outbound migration this quarter (e.g., San Francisco, Boston, Denver, Baltimore) also rank high in terms of remote-friendly workforces and dramatic price swings.

Long-Distance Moves on the Increase

This collision of market trends and changing preferences may result in a greater number of longer-distance moves—in Q3 2021, 40% of Apartment List users were searching to move to a new metropolitan area, and 26% were searching in a different state altogether.

Despite being separated by more than 1,000 miles, Miami is the number one destination for New York City renters, narrowly edging out nearby Philadelphia. 6.1% of searches leaving the New York City metro are destined for Miami, and another 7.8% are destined for other parts of Florida, namely Tampa, Orlando, and Jacksonville metros.

California: A Major Exporter of Renters

As a large, expensive, and politically liberal state, California has long held a reputation for exporting residents across the country and altering economic and political landscapes along the way. This notion hit a major milestone in 2020, when for the first time in its 170-year history California experienced net population loss, losing over 182,000 residents in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Apartment List search data indicate that this trend may be continuing, as California supplies more search interest across the country than any other state. In the most recent quarter, eight states—Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Oregon, Nevada, Arizona, Utah, and Texas—received more searches from California than any other state. In Nevada specifically, over half of all apartment searches came from California residents.


Source: Here Are the Apartment Markets Attracting New Renters
https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/here-are-the-apartment-markets-attracting-new-renters/

Sunday, January 2, 2022

Congress wants to kill the 'backdoor Roth IRA.' Here's what it means for you

 

 

Tax-free savings in retirement are great to have at your disposal. But provisions in the Build Back Better bill would limit some of the ways to accrue them in the future -- at least for high-income savers. The provisions are included in the version of the bill that recently passed the House, and is set to go to the Senate for consideration in December.

No more 'backdoor' conversions to Roth IRAs

A key way to build tax-free savings is to contribute to a Roth IRA.

While you won't get a tax break for your contributions to a Roth IRA, the after-tax money you put in will then grow tax-free and can be withdrawn tax-free once you reach retirement age. In 2022 you can contribute up to $6,000 a year ($7,000 if you're 50 or older).

High earners, however, are prohibited from contributing directly to a Roth IRA if their modified adjusted gross income in 2022 is at least $144,000 ($214,000 if married).

But they can still create a Roth IRA through a so-called "backdoor" strategy that involves converting their other IRA savings.
Although high-income taxpayers are precluded from making deductible contributions to a traditional IRA, they are allowed to make non-deductible ones.

In transferring a non-deductible IRA to a Roth, you would owe tax on the gains that had accrued on your contributions. That's avoidable, however, if you make the conversion immediately after making your non-deductible IRA contribution, since there would be no time for the money to grow.

But this strategy may get the ax. Starting next year, the House-passed bill would prohibit all taxpayers from converting their after-tax contributions using this "backdoor" conversion method to a Roth IRA.

No more 'mega backdoor' conversions to a Roth 401(k) either

The bill would also prohibit a similar strategy that is currently permitted when it comes to Roth 401(k)s.

Roth 401(k)s are another great way to build tax-free retirement savings and they are now offered by a majority of employers that offer tax-deferred 401(k) plans. Unlike Roth IRAs, Roth 401(k)s do not have any income eligibility rules and they allow for much higher contributions -- up to the 401(k) limit of $20,500 starting next year ($27,000 if you're at least 50).

On top of that, your employer also may let you make after-tax contributions to your regular 401(k), the gains on which would be taxable when you withdraw them. Under current law, you may convert those pre-tax and after-tax savings from your 401(k) account into a Roth and thereby skip having to pay taxes on future withdrawals.

In total, savers effectively can sock away up to $61,000 next year ($67,500 if you're at least 50) -- once your contributions, your employer match and your after-tax contributions are counted.

So for high-income earners, it is possible to convert large sums of money into a Roth 401(k) through what's known as a 'mega backdoor' strategy. Under the bill, however, starting next year, taxpayers would be prohibited from converting the after-tax portion of their 401(k) savings into a Roth.

Then, a decade from now -- in 2032 -- anyone with modified AGI over $400,000 (or $450,000 if married and filing jointly) would also be prohibited from converting their pretax savings into a Roth. That would apply whether their pre-tax savings come from their 401(k) or a traditional, deductible IRA.

What won't change

There is no predicting whether lawmakers will preserve the Roth restrictions in the House-passed Build Back Better bill -- or even if the bill itself will become law. But if the prohibitions on backdoor Roth conversions do survive, Roth IRAs, Roth 401(k)s and Roth conversions will still be useful vehicles for the many savers who meet the income and other eligibility rules governing Roths.

And nothing likely will change for anyone when it comes to their 2021 savings strategies. "We're executing 2021 contributions [and] conversions by December 31 as our best thinking is the bill will have no effect on 2021. For 2022 and beyond, we're taking a wait-and-see approach," said New Jersey-based CPA and certified financial planner Joseph Doerrer.

But for his high-income clients, Doerrer said he is strategizing when and what portion of their savings it makes sense to convert to a Roth before the window potentially closes for them in 2032.

"We're modeling out smaller piecemeal conversions, if we have any favorable play in their tax brackets, to chip away at their pre-tax balances in the event there is the 10-year or so proposed window after which Roth conversions would be unavailable to higher income individuals."

For Florida-based certified financial planner Mari Adam, her advice to clients remains the same regardless of the fate of the Roth provisions in the bill.

"Save consistently, spend moderately and invest for the long-term," she said. "The only advice I would add? Stay nimble. Tax rules change, so stay flexible and avoid committing to any financial strategy that can't easily be undone when the tax regime changes."


https://www.creconsult.net/market-trends/congress-wants-to-kill-the-backdoor-roth-ira-heres-what-it-means-for-you/

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